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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53419)	9/29/2001 12:08:30 AM
From: Sam Citron	Respond to of 70976

That's got to be bad data, a self-selecting sample group, a small sample size, something like that. Sentiment is most definitely NOT improving Jacob, I am not an AAII member but I got the information from a secondary source that I believe to be accurate. If there is an AAII member here, they can go to the web site and verify it for us. My only explanation (from what little I know about AAII) is that they advocate a fundamental model for analysing individual stocks and if prices deteriorate faster than earnings, sales and other lagged data, they may very well become more bullish. The AAII surveys individuals on its Web site each week. AAII asks participants where they think the stock market will be in six months. Only subscribers to AAII are eligible to vote, and they can vote only once during the survey period. Sam

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53419)	9/29/2001 2:01:35 PM
From: Guy	Respond to of 70976

That's got to be bad data, a self-selecting sample group, a small sample size, something like that. Sentiment is most definitely NOT improving, among individual (or professional) investors. They got more bullish and sold stocks?????? One measure of Current Investor Sentiment: lowrisk.com

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (53419)	9/30/2001 1:08:33 PM
From: Sam Citron	Respond to of 70976

AAII sentiment survey results confirmed by Barrons: Dow Jones Newswire 9/29/01 BARRON'S: Investor Sentiment Readings In Investors Intelligence's poll, the correction figure represents advisers who are basically bullish, but are looking for some sort of short-term weakness. High bullish readings in that poll, in Consensus Inc., or in Market Vane's usually are signs of market tops; low ones, market bottoms. Investors Intelligence Two Three Last Weeks Weeks Week Ago Ago Bulls 33.7% 35.7% 39.6% Bears 42.1% 37.6% 36.5% Correction 24.2% 26.7% 23.9% Source: Investors Intelligence, 30 Church Street, New Rochelle, N.Y. 10801 (914) 632-0422. Consensus Index Bullish Opinion 31% 26% 28% Source: Consensus Inc., P.O. Box 411128, Kansas City, Mo. 64141 (800) 383-1441. AAII Index Bullish 51.1% 31.1% 26.7% Bearish 22.2% 44.6% 36.7% Neutral 26.7% 24.3% 36.7% Source: American Association of Individual Investors, 625 N. Michigan Ave., Chicago, Ill. 60611 (312) 280-0170. Market Vane Bullish Consensus 23% 20% 24% Source: Market Vane, P.O. Box 90490, Pasadena, CA 91109 (626) 395-7436. interactive.wsj.com searchterm: aaii