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To: mishedlo who wrote (126380)9/30/2001 6:07:06 AM
From: sun-tzu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
It's a move based on simple risk/reward. The recent downside blowout removes the high percentage opportunity on the short side. As far as increasing their call exposure, that is far to risky since the fundamentals are as bad as they were in March, 2000.

barra.com

Remember, as the put position increases, the brokerages must short stocks to hedge since they sold the puts in the first place. That's the precise reason that closing put options is so bullish. Not to mention the very essence of a "short squeeze".

My point is this: the removal of the huge, net put option positions, and the inherent short stock hedge, lessons any chance of a rally as there are no shorts to cover to create that buying frenzy.

IMHO this ship is taking on water. Tax loss selling, redemptions and European repatriation are gonna crush this market over the next four weeks.

(~)^(~)



To: mishedlo who wrote (126380)9/30/2001 10:48:25 AM
From: UnBelievable  Respond to of 436258
 
Federal Market Intervention and The Implications For Commercial Positions As Reported In The COT

Last Weeks Consistent Positive Market Was The Direct Result Of Federal Reserve Intervention

Message 16432602

The Commercial Short Position Shown In The COT Reports

Message 16433292