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To: abstract who wrote (42740)10/2/2001 8:06:43 AM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
M A R K E T .. S N A P S H O T -- Markets focus on the Fed
Central bank seen lowering rates by 50bps

By Julie Rannazzisi, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 7:39 AM ET Oct 2, 2001

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- The U.S. markets are set to open on a slightly negative note Tuesday as investors are readying for another rate move by the Federal Reserve.

The FOMC meeting is widely expected to produce the Fed's ninth interest-rate cut of the year. The fed funds futures markets are assigning a 96-percent chance to a slash in the overnight lending rate of 1/2 percentage point, which would push it to 2.50 percent.

But some market strategists believe the Fed may opt for a less aggressive approach in light of the Sept. 17 inter-meeting rate cut of 50 basis points and take the funds rate down by just 25 basis points.

In the futures markets, the December S&P 500 futures contract gave up 6.20 points, or 0.6 percent, and was trading around 4.30 points below fair value, according to HL Camp & Co. Nasdaq futures, meanwhile, declined 11.00 points, or 0.9 percent.

In the Treasury sector, prices eked out gains for another session as rate cut expectations provided the market with a solid underpinning.

The 10-year Treasury note was up 5/32 to yield ($TNX) 4.52 percent while the 30-year government bond rose 1/8 to yield ($TYX) 5.365 percent.

No economic news is set for release on Tuesday. Check economic calendar and forecasts.

In the currency segment, the dollar rose 0.4 percent to 120.63 yen while the euro slipped 0.2 percent to 91.48 cents.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



To: abstract who wrote (42740)10/2/2001 7:54:16 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Bush Adviser Says Recession Probable

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
October 2, 2001
Filed at 6:22 p.m. ET

WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Bush and congressional leaders agreed Tuesday to craft hurry-up legislation to boost the terrorism-damaged economy. Officials said a fresh round of tax rebates was among the possibilities and aid to newly laid-off workers a virtual certainty.

Tax breaks for businesses also were a likely element of the legislation, these officials said, either through a cut in the corporate income tax, overhaul of the corporate alternative minimum tax, expedited write-offs of the cost of equipment or some other means.

``There is agreement that we've got to come together with a vision about how big the package ought to be to make sure we affect the economy in the short run in a positive way, but don't affect it in the long run in a negative way,'' Bush said at the White House, where he hosted the four senior leaders of Congress -- two Democrats and two Republicans -- at what has become a weekly breakfast meeting.

Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D., later told reporters there had been no decisions on the size or timing of the package, but they had a general agreement to hold down the cost.

``We are worried about exploding costs,'' he said. ``We all agree it has to be contained.''

Separately, other congressional officials said they hoped for passage within a few weeks as part of a string of measures Congress is enacting in response to the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in New York and Washington.

On a related issue, officials said a consensus seemed to be developing to attach legislation to help laid-off airline workers to a bill designed to make the commercial air traffic system safer. That bill probably will begin moving through Congress as early as this week.

The Federal Reserve Board has cut key interest rates twice in little more than two weeks, an indication of its concern about economic activity.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has suggested that to be effective, any stimulus package would have to be at least in the range of $100 billion, or one percent of the size of the overall economy. Congress already has approved $40 billion in spending to aid in recovery from the terrorist strikes.

Bush signaled last week he would sign off on an economic stimulus package, a reversal from his earlier position that this spring's tax cuts needed time to take effect. His reversal came two weeks after the attack, the worst in the nation's history, damaged an economy that had already been sputtering.

Administration officials said during the day the president wants legislation that will put additional money in the pockets of consumers, in hopes they will spend it quickly. Some Democrats, including Sen. Max Baucus, D-Mont., chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, have suggested getting the money to consumers in time for the year-end holiday buying season.

Administration and congressional officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the possibilities include another round of rebates, although expanded to include the roughly 30 million Americans whose wages are so low they did not qualify for the checks mailed out earlier in the year. Virtually all wage-earners pay Social Security payroll taxes, and tax relief could be based on those levies.

Democrats, for their part, have made it clear they are mainly interested in providing tax cuts to this group of lower-paid workers, and less determined to extend the tax breaks to those who have already received checks.

Apart from rebates -- which could take weeks to reach consumers -- officials said they were reviewing other potential means of delivering tax cuts faster. One proposal would be to adjust the amount of tax withheld from wages in one or two lump sums, rather than spread out over a year. That would give individuals an immediate, one-time boost in take-home pay.

To aid laid off workers, Bush has signaled he would consider a 13-week extension in unemployment benefits beyond the usual 26 weeks. Since joblessness in many states is unlikely to reach the levels that mandate an extension, one official said during the day the administration is looking at the possibility of using federal funds to target relief.

Officials said earlier in the week the administration was considering expanding an existing Labor Department program to give displaced workers additional relief, including money for health care and possibly job training. That program, so-called national emergency grants, is currently funded at $200 million, but could swell to more than $1 billion, according to several officials.

Democrats have also suggested an increase in the minimum wage, but Republicans generally are unenthusiastic.

Businesses are also likely to benefit from the stimulus package, according to several officials. House Democratic Leader Dick Gephardt, D-Mo., has publicly suggested a tax break for business depreciation expenses.

Some Republicans have floated a proposal to adjust the corporate alternative minimum tax to protect companies that are unprofitable but might be required to pay taxes regardless. In a meeting more than a week ago, White House economics adviser Larry Lindsey suggested a cut in the corporate income tax rate.

Numerous Republicans have called for a cut in capital gains taxes, but that has generated little enthusiasm among Democrats.
__________________________________________________

On another note, I see that China has decided to make a BIG purchase from Boeing...

China Orders 30 Boeing 737 Jetliners Worth Approximately $1.6 Billion

biz.yahoo.com

<<...Boeing forecasts China will need 1,764 commercial jets worth $144 billion over the next 20 years, becoming its largest market outside the United States...>>



To: abstract who wrote (42740)10/3/2001 4:14:16 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Software investors buy on possibility of a bottom

Wednesday October 3, 3:24 pm Eastern Time

NEW YORK, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Software stocks rallied for a second straight day on Wednesday after expected warnings on third-quarter results failed to materialize and investors

moved in to scoop up cheap shares of once highly valued stocks.

``I think people were looking for some aggressive preannouncements,'' said A.G. Edwards & Sons software analyst Mary O'Rourke.

For the most part, those warnings did not materialize.

``Typically if a software company is going to warn they do it on the Monday or Tuesday after the quarter closes,'' Chuck Phillips, Morgan Stanley's top software analyst told Reuters.

``I think there's a feeling that many of them have already guided low enough and are going to come with their range for the third quarter.'' Phillips said.

Standard & Poor's computer software index rose more than 7 percent in midday trade -- as bargain hunting, short covering and traditional long-term investment purchases helped drive big gains is stocks such as Interwoven (NasdaqNM:IWOV - news), i2 Technologies (NasdaqNM:ITWO - news), Siebel Systems (NasdaqNM:SEBL - news), Mercury Interactive (NasdaqNM:MERQ - news) and PeopleSoft (NasdaqNM:PSFT - news).

``It's more of what started yesterday -- a sentiment that the bottom is near and the market is oversold,'' Banc of America Securities analyst Bob Austrian told Reuters.

Interwoven -- which warned on Tuesday that it would miss third-quarter expectations -- rose $1.94, or more than 46 percent, to $6.15. The rise was fueled, in part, by news that it had struck a multimillion-dollar deal with computer giant International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM - news).

Software stalwarts were also posting significant gains.

Storage management software vendor Veritas Software (NasdaqNM:VRTS - news) was up $3.78, or about 19 percent, at $23.68

Software giant Microsoft Corp. (NasdaqNM:MSFT - news) gained $3.13, around 6 percent, to $56.18.

Business management software maker PeopleSoft rose $3.62, or about 18 percent, to $24.16, while selling and customer service software vendor Siebel Systems climbed about 17 percent, or $2.59, to $17.65.

Kash Rangan of Dain Rauscher Wessels said software stocks had been oversold on fears that results from the third quarter, which ended Sept. 30., would be hard hit by last month's terror attacks on the Pentagon and World Trade Center.

Oracle (NasdaqNM:ORCL - news), Peregrine Systems (NasdaqNM:PRGN - news) and SAP AG were among the enterprise software vendors with undervalued stocks, Rangan said.

All were trading higher on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, President George W. Bush said his administration was also weighing a range of tax cuts to help spur business investment. The president singled out investment tax credits. Another leading option would allow businesses to write off more quickly purchases of software, computers and other equipment.

When asked whether that proposed $60 billion to $75 billion economic stimulus package was helping to boost stocks, Dain Rauscher Wessels analyst Rangan said: ``I can't comment specifically on that, but let's face it, any news is good news at the moment.''

_________________________________



To: abstract who wrote (42740)10/5/2001 2:46:16 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
A Prince with Divided Loyalties

Friday October 5
BusinessWeek Online
Daily Briefing: NEWS ANALYSIS
By John Rossant in Paris

Saudi Arabia's Prince Alwaleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz Alsaud reacted to the September 11 terrorist attacks as most sane people did: with shock and outrage. As the horror unfolded on eight television monitors in his office in Riyadh, Alwaleed rushed to reach New York friends and associates, including Citigroup Chairman Sanford Weill.

Days later, after his emotions calmed, Alwaleed began devising an investment strategy for a world that began sliding into recession almost immediately after the attacks. He's seeking buying opportunities. ``I'm not panicking, and I'm not scared,'' says the 43-year-old nephew of the Saudi King. ``I've been through the Gulf War, the Asia crisis, and the Russian crisis.''

But the response to the attacks -- a U.S.-led global war on terrorism, particularly fundamentalist Islamic terrorism -- has far more implications for the Saudi royals than those situations. In many respects, Alwaleed is emblematic of his country's sometimes ambiguous relationship with the West.

CAREFUL DONOR. A world-class financier, he built his fortune by taking stakes in top U.S. companies when they faltered, reaping huge rewards as they recovered. Before the attacks, he valued the portfolio of his company, Kingdom Holding, at $20 billion. As such, his economic interests are tied to the U.S.

He's also a devout Muslim committed to Islamic and Arab causes -- and a generous philanthropist in a region where terrorist groups have tapped a tradition of charitable donations. Alwaleed says he's confident that none of his money ends up in nefarious hands, but he acknowledges that other donors may be less fastidious.

Since September 11, swooning share prices have hit Alwaleed's portfolio hard. Some of his top investments -- Apple (NasdaqNM:AAPL), Compaq (NYSE:CPQ - news), Motorola (NYSE:MOT - news), and Euro Disney -- look pretty frayed. As of Oct. 2, his 3% stake in Citigroup (NYSE:C - news), the fruit of a $590 million investment in its predecessor, Citicorp, in 1992 -- was down just 0.5%. But his holdings are well below last year's highs. Alwaleed estimates his portfolio fell 10% between Sept. 17, when U.S. markets reopened, and Oct. 1.

NOT BLACK-AND-WHITE. Yet paper losses aren't his main concern. ``We're getting hurt, but I'm a long-term investor,'' says Alwaleed. More perturbing, he suggests, is the world view reflected in President George W. Bush's declaration that those ``who aren't with us are against us'' in the fight against terrorism. Nothing in the Middle East -- even for a U.S. ally like Saudi Arabia -- is so black-and-white. ``Yes, the Saudi relationship with the U.S. is very strategic,'' Alwaleed says. ``But this incident will create tensions in the relationship.''

It's hard for Americans to realize how deeply Saudis like Alwaleed feel about Islamic and Arab causes. That means funding projects that boost regional economies. One example: Alwaleed is the main investor in a $100 million Four Seasons hotel in Damascus.

It also means more controversial investments. Like many Saudis, including Osama bin Laden, Alwaleed was attracted by the cause of the mujahideen who fought the Soviets in Afghanistan. Alwaleed became a contributor to the mujahideen in the early 1980's when, he notes, Washington supported them. He even secretly traveled to training camps in Peshawar, Pakistan, in 1981. Alwaleed says that when Afghanistan descended into civil war after Soviet troops retreated in early 1989, he stopped supporting them. He made his last sizable donation to the mujahideen -- $5.4 million -- in April, 1990.

``LOOSE ENDS.'' ``There are entities that are giving money now to the Afghans, but I am not involved,'' he insists. Alwaleed acknowledges that bin Laden's Al Qaeda network and other allied terrorist groups may benefit from the charitable funds collected in the Arab world. ``Clearly, there have been loose ends,'' he says.

One of the five pillars of Islam is zakat -- giving 2.5% of one's savings each year to charity. In Saudi Arabia, where there is no income tax, people give generously. Alwaleed donated $100 million last year. Most went to poor Saudi families. But he also gave $6 million to Palestinians thrown out of work by the intifada, and he helped reconstruct Lebanese power plants destroyed by the Israeli air force.

For all Alwaleed's American style -- his relaxed demeanor, his U.S. business practices, and his American slang -- his loyalties are clear. What does the most pro-American of Saudi princes want to come out of this tragedy? ``America has to understand the roots of resentment in the Arab world and the Muslim world,'' he says. ``And we need to have high-level discussions to focus on this.'' If someone like Alwaleed feels this way, winning Middle East support may be even harder than America realizes.

Go to www.businessweek.com to see all of our latest stories.