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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (126908)10/2/2001 3:29:14 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
cycle high now? since we are gonna close higher



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (126908)10/2/2001 5:05:26 PM
From: Dr. Jeff  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
Housing to Stay Strong - Fannie CEO

Tuesday October 2 3:28 PM ET

By Mark Felsenthal

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Low interest rates and continuing
demand will keep the U.S. housing market strong in spite of an
economic downturn worsened by the Sept. 11 attacks on New York
and Washington, the chief executive of mortgage finance giant Fannie
Mae said on Tuesday.

While existing-home sales and other housing indicators are expected to
fall in the wake of the attacks, home sales and building were at record or near-record levels before
the attacks, Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM - news) CEO Franklin Raines told Reuters in an interview.

``Even with the slowdown, they're objectively at very high levels,'' he said.

In addition, home values have never declined and are expected to continue to rise, he said.

DOUBLING OF INVESTMENT IN HOUSING

As a result, the Washington-based mortgage finance company expects investment in housing to almost
double or more over the next 10 years to between $21 trillion and $25 trillion from the current level of
$11 trillion.


Low interest rates -- the 30 year-fixed rate mortgage was at a national average of 6.72 percent last
week -- should prompt a refinancing boom, Raines said.

At the same time, Raines warned that too much stimulative action, such as Federal Reserve (news -
web sites) rate cuts, could spark inflation fears in the bond markets and cause long-term interest rates
to rise.

``If interest rates rise, you can negate the impact of the other stimulus, and you don't want to do that,''
said Raines, formerly director of the White House Office of Management and Budget in the
Democratic administration of President Bill Clinton.

In addition to the Fed's nine interest rate cuts since the beginning of the year, Congress agreed to a
substantial tax cut and added spending in the wake of the Sept. 11 attacks, which destroyed New
York's World Trade Center, seriously damaged the Pentagon (news - web sites) and left more than
5,700 people dead or missing.

``That's a lot of stimulus already in the system,'' Raines said. ``We just have to make sure we keep the
right balance and don't cause inflation.''

HEARINGS MADE COMPANY STRONGER

Political criticism leveled at Fannie Mae over the last two years has left the company and its federal
regulator stronger, the Fannie CEO said.

Fannie Mae and its cousin Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE - news) faced criticism from members of
Congress and financial services companies, who charged the two could pose a risk to taxpayers,
were overstepping their congressional mandates, and were retaining too great a financial share of the
advantages their government ties provide.

But as a result of two years of close scrutiny, the two companies, also known as
government-sponsored enterprises because they are congressionally chartered, are more open to
scrutiny, have stronger federal regulatory oversight and have added buffers to shield them from
financial shocks, Raines said. In addition, their financial regulator, the Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight, has issued a financial safety test that was in the making for years.

``The world has moved on,'' he said.

As a result of the expanded scrutiny it is now well-known that Fannie Mae is not guaranteed by the
government, Raines said. Financial shocks following the Sept. 11 attacks and the 1998 Russian
debt-default crisis have demonstrated that Fannie Mae acts to stabilize the system, he added.

The two GSEs have multibillion-dollar lines of credit with the U.S. Treasury that they have never used.
They also have tax and securities disclosure exemptions.

At the same time, they are limited by their charter to the mortgage markets and are required to meet
goals for financing home loans for low- and moderate-income buyers.

``Elected officials say the balance looks about right,'' Raines said.

A proposal to give government mortgage finance arm Ginnie Mae the ability to back private
low-down payment mortgages should be questioned, the Fannie Mae chief executive said.

Scrutiny of the proposal, which has not been introduced in legislative form yet, should examine who
would benefit from the change, whether it would expand the market for home loans, and whether the
government would be assuming additional risk, he said.

dailynews.yahoo.com