To: Paul Shread who wrote (20836 ) 10/4/2001 5:42:25 PM From: dennis michael patterson Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 52237 Distribution Chris Scumacher TheSTreet.Com The Distribution Phase 10/04/01 4:22 PM ET Human Genome (HGSI:Nasdaq) was closed out at the end of the session at $32.02 for a scalp only. I'm not one to hold many stocks overnight, especially traditionally illiquid ones that I don't have a strong cushion in. So I am taking no positions home overnight with me. Tomorrow morning we'll see the employment figures, and given that our claims spiked today, the numbers could easily show 5% unemployment, which is the top of the range for what I've been predicting for the last three months. Today marked the distribution phase that I talked about this morning during the "trend" talk post. Many asked me today why I thought they would start the distribution phase now, after a great day yesterday. What we are failing to realize is that we retraced more than 1,000 points in the Dow before marking yesterday's spike. Was I 100% sure we'd get distribution today? No, but the principles of tape reading suggest that it was a higher probability. Distribution in this phase, after a sharp spike, isn't so much marked by a strong selling that leads to new lows. Rather, distribution in this case is large volume on the buy side that doesn't lead to higher prices. This is the difference between distribution by smart money vs. selling by the public. The latter part of today was marked by public selling and smart money wasn't willing to step up and support it, so we had a downtrend into the close that I expected once we broke below NDX 1280. So for tomorrow, I'm going to be a bit more cautious on the long side in the early going and watch how strong buy-side volume is sold into by larger capital bases. Have a great evening. No positions.