SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JRI who wrote (21001)10/7/2001 7:39:12 PM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Will there be a "Second Smash" terror attack

in response to our strikes on Afghan targets today? Will it instead be a series of smaller attacks around the
country? Or will the 1,000 terrorist associated individuals (per FBI estimates) just lay low for awhile while tension
builds?

During the US market closure for the balance of the week after 9/11, I spent a lot of time thinking about new
investment themes. It was obvious this would be the first war where the US mainland itself would be a key
battlefield. So it came as no surprise that the domestic/homeland security related stocks exploded when the market
reopened the following Monday. One of my trading rules has always been not to chase news related rallies. It's
better to wait for a consolidation, even IF that occurs at higher prices, to give the market time to separate the
leaders from the "rising tide that lifts ALL boats"<g> So it's taken nearly the entire month since then to build
positions with a reasonable cost basis.

First my conservative value pick.

SILW is a Canadian stock that's dual listed on our NAZ. It recently reported a minor earnings disappointment and
the price has over reacted on the downside, IMO creating a good LT buying opportunity in a sector that's
emerging as a major market leader.

SILW has an excellent balance sheet. PE, P/S, P/B and other ratios indicate very good value

siliconinvestor.com

Another reason I like this one is that it was showing good profits long before the 9/11 attack.

siliconinvestor.com

And the stock price chart reflects investor have recognized that for some time

stockcharts.com[w,a]dhca...

The high LT growth pick and my largest position in the sector is VSNX.

As is common for leading edge technology stocks, we see another very good balance sheet. But a quick look at a
few of the common ratios make it obvious this isn't a value play.<g>

siliconinvestor.com

It's important to remember that the leaders in every sector usually show up on value screen spreadsheets as
"overvalued" all the way up as they lead their sector in it's Bull Market. And IMO we've entered a Bull Market in
the Domestic Security industry that's going to produce huge percentage gains in the strongest performing stocks
and VSNX will be one of them.

VSNX is very volatile and should be fun for my friends here that are nimble and skilled ST traders.

stockcharts.com[w,a]dhca...

Also have smaller positions in American firearms mfg RGR and dual listed Dutch security company ICTS.

Glad I finally got around to banging this out on the keyboard. Just hard to get the time I need to post stuff like this.
Ordinary posts don't require even a fraction of the time and thought.

Best to all,

Isopatch