To: waverider who wrote (106430 ) 10/7/2001 2:46:23 PM From: Jon Koplik Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472 Re : Diamond H's perspective -- I think I disagree 100% with each and every point you make. Re : <<"It is rather obvious now that the Internet was an over-hyped technology. What are the real results ? Porno is the main driver.">> I think some Internet stocks were over-hyped, but not the Internet. Your comments seem similar to me to people (a long time ago) "dissing" electricity or telephones or computers or modern medicine. Be patient ... the changes that the Internet is bringing to the world are still in the very early stages. Re : <<"People NEED and DESIRE human contact. Things like on-line learning, shopping, etc. have limited growth because once the novelty wears off...and it has...people return to what they know best...getting in the car and getting what they need from people.">> My experience has been the exact reverse. I am thrilled to finally NOT have to deal with people in a lot of situations (obtaining a book, obtaining a stock quote, obtaining a copy of a financial account statement, transferring funds, getting the answer to a not important question, getting driving directions, etc., etc., etc.) I often find myself saying : "I am SO glad I did not have to deal with a live human being on this." Re : "<<People will always drift down to the easiest approach to things. This is why Blockbuster is still going strong and things like Gemstar and Pay Per View will only attract a niche community. It's 7:30 at night. I want to watch a movie. I want to get out of the damn house. What do I do? I get in my car and drive to Blockbuster. It's cheap. It's behavoir that is automatic. Meanwhile, my VCR is flashing 12:00.">> For me to get to any place that rents videos is about 20 minutes round trip driving. This costs time, money, gasoline, air pollution, depreciation on my car, chance of a car accident. Why would I ever go out if I did not have to ? I once went into a BlockBuster to try to rent "The Player" right after it was first available on video. They said they had twenty copies, but ... all twenty were checked out. (An Internet application could tell me this from my home computer in the future (?)) They also told me (if I remember correctly) $5.00 for 3 days. Why would I ever want it for 3 days ? The movie is 2 hours long. I was expecting $1 for 1 day. I have never been in a BlockBuster since then. (I think this was about 8 years ago). (Also -- I record and watch stuff all the time on my VCR). When things are available over a fast, smooth Internet, it will be even better. Re : <<"We use wireless phones so easily because it is NOT a major shift from what we already were hot wired for. BUT using handsets to do web work...again only a niche market. WHY ? Because: -Doing web stuff at home is comfortable and CHEAP. Service providers are going to charge per minute rates that will skyrocket the cost of internet use. People are going to pay up for that when they can basically get it for FREE at home? -Wait all you want for voice activation. It is another thing that is not hot wired into our bodies. Too many weird quirps. Background noise. Saying the wrong thing. So we are now restricted to using the provided keypad. People are hot wired to type, not play dancing elf fingers on a tiny keypad. Wear are my glasses? Oh, I left them in the car.">> I don't think anyone has ever said we will be using handsets as they exist now to do hours of Internet stuff wirelessly. We will do it wirelessly on a notebook computer while sitting at an airport or hotel room (I have done both). Or -- we will have some sort of PDA (personal digital assistant, I believe) that will be a comfortable hybrid between notebook computer and handset. Re : cost per minute -- I thought we all know that it will be unlimited usage per month, and cheaper (and faster) than cable modems. Hot wired to type -- I do not know how to touch type. Glasses -- I only have to put them on to drive. I wear no corrective lenses to work on my computer, cell phone, or watch TV (near my computer). Voice recognition sounds wonderful and amazing to me. When you watch Star Trek, and they use it, are you sitting there thinking : it would be so much easier if they typed everything ? Re : <<"A lot of folks here are frothing at the mouth to get their hands on the new handset things...but a room full of techies ain't going to make a stock triple...only earnings will."> So, are the already over 1,000,000 1X users in Korea all "techies" ? Jon.