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Strategies & Market Trends : Trading the SPOOs with Patrick Slevin! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: virtualsignal who wrote (6889)	10/8/2001 1:08:18 PM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht	Respond to of 7434

Hi! vs! the point (I am going to make) on that long term SP500 chart is indeed that timing is utterly important. Yep that 50 yield line on the SP500 can be set between 6.8% and 7.2%. Looking to correct the SP prices with an acceptable "constant Dollar" (not just the govt. corrected CPI). If what I expect is true, I will have to consider an old hypothesis of mine that inflation adjusted yields for the long term be 3.5%. So far, 3.5% yields seems a veeery good long term. Makes timing more important than ever. Also rotation between tangible investments (commodities, rentings) andintangibles (bonds,equities) do not have the same cycle. Geez! I would like to have made that dd some years before, would have gone cash in 1998 and not 2000. Shoudda, woudda, hadda. ROFL.