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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TechTrader42 who wrote (21230)10/9/2001 8:40:06 PM
From: Frederick Langford  Respond to of 52237
 
Brookelise,

No question MOT's handset biz looks ok. I was merely pointing out the Semiconductor section of their biz is not too pretty.
I have no position in MOT.
Most who know my thinking know I am concerned about the hype of a bottom in the Semi's.
Let's just say I am not exactly a fan of Jonathan, the train's leaving the station, Joseph.
I believe the IT communication Semis will continue to have a rough road ahead, at least through 2002, perhaps even longer.
My posting the Semiconductor section of MOT's biz was with that in mind. I should have made my post clearer.

Fred



To: TechTrader42 who wrote (21230)10/9/2001 8:47:14 PM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
OCT 9 INDEX UPDATE
----------------------------
Short-term technical readings:
DOW - upper midrange
SPX - midrange
OEX - midrange
NAZ - upper midrange
NDX - upper midrange
SOX - upper midrange
VIX - upper midrange(inverse to market)
NAZ NET NEW HIGHs-LOWs = negative 59

The TRAN broke its RISING WEDGE to the downside. If the TRAN cannot immediate recovery, that should help weaken the DOW to some degree. As weak as the BKX and TRAN has been, the DOW has been holding up relatively well, not that Im saying that the DOW cannot pullback more.

The negative issue for the NAZ/NDX today was the weakness in the SOX. If the SOX continues to weaken, that should pull the NAZ/NDX down more.

The NAZ NET NEW HIGHs-LOWs, just ain't that bad, it ain't great either. Just so-so, now difinitive clue from the HI-LOs yet.

Other than today's weakness in the SOX, Im not getting any firm hints of a huge decline. Maybe a retest and maybe not even that low for the immediate short-term downswing.

Unless we get disasterous news that tanks the market, Im starting to lean towards a mid-term(30 days) bottom being set by the SEPT LOWs. It could be a more significant bottom, but not confident in calling that yet. Of course, we could still see a retest(+/-7%) of those SEPT LOWs in the NAZ/NDX since the NDX is right now only about 150 points above those SEPT LOWs.

Although I am not that bearish, I had mentioned previously that I wont become bullish until the GAPs in mid-SEPT are closed significantly and that the major indices significantly exceed the 62% FIBONACCI rebound levels calculated off of the MAY peaks, Some are calling for a huge rally. If in fact that some sort of a bottom was set with the SEPT LOWs, I am also expecting a significant rally but I will stay away from using words like huge. As mentioned previously Im more incline of a trading range which at times may have significant oscillations in both directions.