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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Yorikke who wrote (4831)10/10/2001 8:33:40 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
very true comments by Wein and John Lipsky.

I had mentioned here a couple of weeks ago that with the Administration and the Congress both saying that
this "War" on terrorism, could take years, that they have written a blank check to a Possible new paradigm.

In this paradigm, investor fears could see a sustained selling of the US Dollar and US denominated assets, if a
real global polarization, or fracturing takes place.

"Every new stage of the conflict raises the risk premium. This is very
different from the Persian Gulf War in 1991. This is not going to be over
in two days." Byron Wien, Morgan Stanley strategist

"Risk is something where you can calculate; uncertainty is something
where you can’t evaluate odds – and I would say we’re dealing with true
uncertainty." John Lipsky, chief economist at JP Morgan Chase