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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (16478)10/12/2001 4:26:06 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Cot? any meaning there? Sounds like we're getting a B decline coming, but no big 5...that's ok....I can live with a B ng



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (16478)10/13/2001 10:59:26 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Patron,

I have the utmost respect for you, but I find your summary a little blase -g. I finally got around to looking at the updated COT's. Looking at only the NASDAQ side for now, I see that the commercials are not believers. On the big NASDAQ contract they are now shorter than they were at the May high. They are convinced we are close to a top. I also see that the small and large spec's are near record bullish going back to early Spring.

As for the small contract, well, who gives a rat's ass -g. The open interest there has shrunk so much it's all over the place for now. Besides, recent history shows that the correlation between the mini and the cash is not as strong as the big contract versus the cash.

Anyway, let's count those minis as what they are, 1/5 a big contract and see how short the commercials are. The answer is still a whopping 12,229 big contracts short. This is near the extremes shown at tops.

Also, the commercials only covered for 2 weeks, and very little in the second. Now they are getting short again and fast. This is not at all what one sees when they believe we have put the bottom well behind us.
______________________
COT...some covering in SPX offset by bigtime shorting of the SPX Emini, some shorting in the NDX offset by covering of the NDX emini, and some covering in gold:



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (16478)10/13/2001 11:20:28 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
This week coming up belongs to RUMX. It's been discounting some bad news as it lags in the rally off the lows. Lassie is trying to tell us something I think.

We get BAC on Monday, and C and JPM on Wednesday. Got three tenors?

In tech we get three heavyweights, IBM, INTC, and MSFT. Got three lyres?

On the brink and mortar side we have GM and F. Got blues?