To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (1230 ) 10/15/2001 12:11:11 PM From: Return to Sender Respond to of 95406 I believe we will get a good 30% clip off the prices of most semiconductor and semi capital equipment stocks over the next week or two Don. The Nasdaq reached its upper Bollinger Band on Thursday. Analysts seem intent on taking the recent move higher back down. That's why I raised cash last week. If I was more of a brave soul I would have gone short. Ultimately I still believe the liquidity the Fed has put into the system will win out. Looks to me as if we get at least one more chance to bargain hunt at lower levels. Depending on how earnings and visibility come in this quarter we could have hit the lows on this cycle but perhaps not. Of course the war against terrorism is a wild card that cannot be seen as a positive until we see the public at large return to more predictable levels of consumer confidence and actual spending. More from Briefing.com: 12:00PM: The bias headed into the session was negative and this tone has been maintained into midday action. Pre-opening calls set the stage for today's downdraft. Lehman issued a broad based downgrade in the semi sector; cited the push out of the recovery as two semi-equip firms expressed view that industry may not recover until 2003. JP Morgan downgraded comm IC stocks (ALTR, XLNX, AMCC, PMCS and VTSS); channel checks indicate that order flow remains weak and visibility poor. Banc of America reduced its equity allocation by 5% citing negative earnings guidance and the sizeable recovery over the last three weeks. The latter issue of already staging a sizeable bounce played a role in the Needham downgrade of Cisco Systems (CSCO -0.82). While tech has dominated the losers list, energy (oil/oil service, natural gas) has been under pressure amid fears that demand will weaken into the first half of 2002. The trading has not been a complete rout for the bears as biotech, bio-terrorism (CPHD, NGEN), insurance, airline and selected Internet issues (EBAY, AMZN, CMRC) are posting solid gains. Volume is on the lighter side with market internals negative. XOI -2.6%, SOX -5.5%, NYSE Adv/Dec 1164/1663, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1369/1899