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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: isopatch who wrote (2846)10/15/2001 5:35:27 PM
From: isopatch  Respond to of 36161
 
Chas Biderman of Investment Trimtabs

seems to have the same read that I've been posting about he markets since I went to a high cash level a week ago.

Here's a quote from is comments on Saturday.

<We turn cautiously bearish from neutral. Last weeks rally appears to us to have been generated by Wall Street
“professionals” realizing that the world was not coming to an end after the September 11 events and re-invested the
money pulled out the first week trading resumed as well as by covering shorts.>

Isopatch



To: isopatch who wrote (2846)10/16/2001 10:41:49 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 36161
 
Iso, wise idea to not try to catch the falling knives.!!

Crude looks like it does want to go down and look at that
20 dollar level, or even 19. There was a great article in
Barron's this spring, where the analyst had a very
persuasive argument about how long the lag time was
between production and consumption changes and price
stabilization, when the dynamics shift.

He was looking for crude to move to $19 by the first part
of 2002, and that's what appears to be happening.

It will certainly be a wildcard if there is a bigtime
Middle eastern supply disruption.

the Natural Gas forward strip is more bullish than crude's.
we may not seen NG under 2.50 much anytime in the coming year.

John