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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (54170)10/15/2001 8:07:15 PM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Bookings have been flat for some months now. There were industry concerns expressed that levels could go lower if customers continued to operate at low capacity. I'm sure that the month of September did not help NVLS' orders or any company's orders.

AMAT went to $27 because of 9/11/01. I have been playing for lower prices all along and I would not be surprised if AMAT goes to $20 - 25. On the other hand, I would not be surprised if AMAT doesn't get to $27 again. There are many ballparks that AMAT is measured against and there is a large dash of sentiment in the price. I believe we are in an area where the risk/reward for AMAT purchases are reasonable and we can't forget that there are VERY FEW companies with AMAT's quality. Lighten up, but be prepared to chase on the upside if you get too light. Volatility is so great, that a large up move with all the earmarks of a bear trap will likely mark the beginning of the next bull move.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (54170)10/15/2001 10:02:34 PM
From: advocatedevil  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Jacob, I believe the SCEs were headed lower in the near-term prior to tonight's NVLS report. The recent sector move up was not based on any positive fundamental news (IMO). I suspect we'll see AMAT break below $30 very soon.

AdvocateDevil