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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: StanX Long who wrote (54185)10/16/2001 6:47:47 AM
From: Alastair McIntosh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Stan, the first calculation appears to be correct. However the percent gain on the stock only calculation appears to be in error. The gain on the share purchase is $170,000 - $67,280 = $102,720. Percentage gain is 102,720(100)/67,280 = 152.7%.

Warning: Do not attempt arithmetical calculations late at night.

Al



To: StanX Long who wrote (54185)10/16/2001 8:24:02 AM
From: Sampat Saraf  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Stan,

The options can be more rewarding as well as more risky. I had bought some leaps on Microsoft in 2000 when Microsoft dipped to 75 from 100. I thought it did not participate in in technology bubble valuation and should follow thru to higher valuation over a two year period. Now the leaps are going to expire worthless in Jan 2002 as the strike is 100. For your scenario, returns on your investment as a function of Jan 03 AMAT price will be as below.
See the negative returns for options if stock price is below 47 in jan 2003.

Option Share Jan 03 Option Share
Cost Cost Price Return Return

47.4 33.6 35 -100.00% 4.17%
47.4 33.6 45 -67.57% 33.93%
47.4 33.6 55 102.70% 63.69%
47.4 33.6 65 237.84% 93.45%
47.4 33.6 75 372.97% 123.21%
47.4 33.6 85 508.11% 152.98%
47.4 33.6 95 643.24% 182.74%



To: StanX Long who wrote (54185)10/16/2001 11:04:55 AM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 70976
 
Stan, you may want to wait until after the September SEMI orders are announced. They could be lower after 5 flat months. That won't be good for the stock. Historically, since January 1995, the stock price has risen monotonically after a SEMI orders turnup. We have yet to see this turnup.

Gottfried