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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (672)	10/17/2001 3:40:05 PM
From: Dale Baker	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 99280

George, how do you a trade a rambling, all over the place macro "call" (I was going to say rant) like that? His only logical choices are to go all cash, in which case a market call is irrelevant, or short the market. Where his lack of short-term perspective makes him vulnerable to spikes. Have to say to that message - so what? Unless you buy all of his assumptions it's just a laundry list of doom, not a read on the current market or economy in the short run. JMHO.

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (672)	10/17/2001 4:36:43 PM
From: Zeev Hed	Respond to of 99280

George, I just posted this to John's Pietra's thread (by mistake, apologies, John), it was intended here as a response to your post: John, all I can say to that Gentleman's assessment, it really does not differ from the one I gave in April of last year here #reply-13483082, but in the meanwhile, we had four major bull moves (late May 2000, Early January, early April and just the recent late September) which if you played, and then got out in time, you probably doubled your money from last year till now. In the long term we are all dead, but in the next 5 to seven years, timing of this market will be absolutely critical, wild gyrations will be the norm (and the current bull move is not dead, IMTO, a small relapse here, another run into November before we get a serious retrenchment and then, to the races...). Zeev

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (672)	10/17/2001 8:09:46 PM
From: LTK007	Respond to of 99280

<<I think his turnips may be technically signaling this & his TA read may be correct; but the underlying fundamental under-pinnings of this market are collapsing & that makes the traditional TA read negated.>> Donald Sew recently said the longer out the call the probability decreases significantly--so his primary calls are in a 30day time frame. so,i feel, stick with fine tuning the TA(as time moves negativity of fundamental underpinnings <which i agree with>if a reality will signal themselves in the TA and swing trade in shorterm cycles. Donald Sew recently said the longer out the call the probability decreases significantly--so his primary calls are in a 30day time frame.max