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To: Oblomov who wrote (130008)10/18/2001 8:03:05 AM
From: Tom Smith  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
a rash of defaulting/devaluating currencies would push liquidity to safer haven USD, yen and Euro as well as gold. So the computer models favor the USD. Japan will continue to sell yen and buy dollars with the Euro and gold picking up the scraps, at least initially. Since the banksters are in charge, the properly positioned in the financial sector should make a killing due to a stronger than necessary USD. US manufacturing will be relegated to step-child status and take a proper whipping. This all begs the question, how do you wean a gaggle of sniveling, whining banksters from the money tit? What is Mother Fed to do?

On the other hand, there are oceans of fiat out there and the world is not the safe place that your grandfather fought and died to make it. Only when folks start demanding delivery/payment in physical and every bankster confidence trick has been exhausted will the world move to a global, probably commodities based currency.....that or WW3.



To: Oblomov who wrote (130008)10/18/2001 11:31:27 AM
From: John Madarasz  Respond to of 436258
 
Thank you Ob...

Very interesting. While the dollar seems to be on questionable ground longer term, I've been of the opinion, technically speaking, that short term the strength should hold, and consequently gold will be held in check.

It's nice to see some corroborating fundamental analysis also.

Thanks again,

John M