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To: JRI who wrote (17267)10/19/2001 11:14:17 AM
From: AllansAlias  Respond to of 209892
 
Market is so heavy. I get the feeling if it were not for Friday/options-ex, it would just cave. Of course, this is also the feeling that one gets as they draw in shorts and puts before igniting a short-covering rally.

Dow is nicely oversold right up to about the 2hour timeframe. The jello-phase notwithstanding, and that's where are are now (for rest of day probably), deeply oversold charts may me wary of a strong bounce. The alternative is a waterfall and that's never the odds bet.



To: JRI who wrote (17267)10/19/2001 11:48:18 AM
From: AllansAlias  Respond to of 209892
 
Hmmm... We had the backtest of the triangle and are not printing new lows. If we are just morphing into a more downsloping triangle per the previous post on this mess, then it'll be a headfake marginal low before the bounce. Only hint that break might come is noticeable increase in volume. (Maybe that's jsut the chart-chasers getting stopped out and/or selling the possibility of a break. I'm not doing anything.)



To: JRI who wrote (17267)10/19/2001 12:04:29 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
I am long the futures at this new low -- gulp! -g

I am viewing this as a hedge against my shorts at this point as I have just found a scenario that calls for a strong rally soon. This would probably require some surprising good news for it to happen today. If it unfolds that way I'll post the chart showing the count. If I'm wrong, my shorts will take care of me.