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Technology Stocks : John, Mike & Tom's Wild World of Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (2507)10/23/2001 3:09:47 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2850
 
SSB Sticks with Buy on ENE for the moment, but admit it's
a complex situation.

Salomon Smith Barney ~ October 19, 2001

Enron Corporation (ENE)#
ENE: REITERATE BUY; BUT CONCERNS REMAIN 1H (Buy, High Risk)
Mkt Cap: $21,013.4 mil.

October 19, 2001 SUMMARY
* We reiterate our Buy rating on Enron after untangling
part of a complicated story involving their balance
sheet, cash flow and business practices.
* Although we think we have bounded the most important
issues facing Enron, we cannot rule out that our
viewpoint will change given the complexity of their
off-balance sheet financing vehicles and the
uncertainty and magnitude of potential write-offs

Brian Chin * The chief issue facing Enron, in our view, is the
weakening of their credit standing following $2.21
billion in write-offs, announced last week.
Moody's
has placed Enron's debt on notice for possible
downgrade.
* Offsetting these concerns: cash flows appear solid
over the balance of the year and 2002; and their core
Merchant Energy operating performance is solid.

* We see these as Enron-specific issues, not affecting
other Energy Merchants such as Dynegy (DYN#-1H $44)

FUNDAMENTALS
P/E (12/01E) 16.1x
P/E (12/02E) 13.5x
TEV/EBITDA (12/01E) NA
TEV/EBITDA (12/02E) NA
Book Value/Share (12/01E) $15.66
Price/Book Value 1.9x
Dividend/Yield (12/01E) $0.52/1.8%
Revenue (12/01E) $100,789.0 mil.
Proj. Long-Term EPS Growth 23%
ROE (12/01E) 11.5%
Long-Term Debt to Capital(a) 43.0%
ENE is in the S&P 500(R) Index.
(a) Data as of most recent quarter
SHARE DATA RECOMMENDATION
Price (10/18/01) $29.00 Current Rating 1H
52-Week Range $84.63-$25.15 Prior Rating 1H
Shares Outstanding(a) 724.6 mil. Current Target Price $55.00
Convertible No Previous Target Price $55.00
EARNINGS PER SHARE
FY ends 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Full Year
12/00A Actual $0.40A $0.34A $0.34A $0.41A $1.47A
12/01E Current $0.47A $0.45A $0.43A $0.46E $1.80E
Previous $0.47A $0.45A $0.43A $0.46E $1.80E
12/02E Current NA NA NA NA $2.15E
Previous NA NA NA NA $2.15E
12/03E Current NA NA NA NA NA

Previous NA NA NA NA NA
First Call Consensus EPS: 12/01E $1.81; 12/02E $2.14; 12/03E NA