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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Joan Osland Graffius who wrote (1059)	10/21/2001 3:04:26 PM
From: GREENLAW4-7	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Joan, The only other years that had a similar economic conditions were 1962-1982. In the beginning, 1962-68 long bond bottomed out in late 62 early 63, only to go straight up. In the late 60's it slowed a bite but climbed heavily in 1974-1980. You cannot give money away like the fed is currently doing and not expect the long bond to bottom and begin to move up. Personally I believe oil may move under 19 to the 17-19 area but it will be short lived. I believe crude will stay above the 22 on an average. I actually think Crude is not a bad place to park some money, especially w/ IRAQ as our next target! Yes, the .08 may be a little high but I expect it late 2002 early 2003! Do you think .07-.09 is high? On a historical basis is very low! So, no you won't get Hyper-inflation that quickly but just wait until we hit 2004-2005, I would not doubt by then.