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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: captaintime who wrote (1064)10/21/2001 3:17:24 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
I am back in COO, TYC, AAPL and IGT. I never got out of SFD, and frankly this is a good defensive stock, selling at only twice book, a PE under 10, a growth rate over the next five years, probably in the 10%/year and PS of about .3 or so. The hallmark of a value play here at $20 or so and still recommended. COO, TYC and IGT moved quite a lot. I think I paid too much for IGT (retrospectively at $45, I think it dropped well under $40 on the debacle), but had much better luck with COO ($42) and TYC ($40). At their current prices, I would consider only COO to still be a fair value. IGT may face problems as a result of the slow down in tourism and gambling, so it could very well be available again in the low $40 or even lower. I simply have raised my stop loss to $47.25, the bottom of the gap down, assuring a least a minimal profit. As for TYC, I think it is going to meet some stiff resistance in the $52/$54 area, so buying it here just under $50 may not be advisable, you probably should be able to get it in the $45 plus area where I believe it may be a good long term holding, another alternative is a buy stop at just few pennies above $54, because then it should be able to take out the highs and make a move to a new trading range. My stop is right now just under $45.

AGM actually was printing new all time highs and I hope you are still in. The SL there should be just under $35. I am still waiting for AW to get back under $13 or so before I reenter, unfortunately that one gapped so bad on the disaster, I lost the whole 50% profits it was sporting for the few months prior to 9/11. As for AAPL, I got back in it just above $18, and if you are patient, you probably can get a price in the $16/$18 area, I would be adding to my position if it went to under $14. It is still a good value stock, IMTO.

You may also want to consider MRK here in the $63/$65 area with a stop just under $60. I was fortunate to get it back just above $61, and so far have already collected one very nice call premium on it.

As for BA, I think it can still become quite cheaper, I would not be surprised to see it in the low $20' before it is ready to once more become part of the "core".

I hope that is helpful, good luck.

Zeev