To: michael97123 who wrote (54414 ) 10/22/2001 2:52:38 PM From: herenow_2 Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 70976 Intel take from Briefing. Com 13:59 ET Intel (INTC): 24.79 +0.64: In the Monday edition of the Asian Wall Street Journal, there is an article discussing Intel's capital spending plans for 2002. It is not unlike other articles that have been written on that subject, but where it differs greatly from the others is that it contains comments from a senior official at Intel. That official is the company's Chief Technology Officer, Patrick Gelsinger, who is attending an Intel Developer Forum in Taipei. Reportedly, Mr. Gelsinger has said that Intel is looking to trim its 2002 capital spending budget by 10-20% from this year's surprisingly robust level of $7.5 bln. If true, that would imply a range of $6.0-6.75 bln. On the surface, that sounds disappointing, but in actuality, it has been a rallying point for the market today as analyst projections have been much lower. Goldman Sachs, for one, indicated in a note today that it had been using capex of $4 bln for 2002 in its model. This would be vintage Intel, though, as it has long made a practice of using its financial might to outspend its competition (read AMD) in down markets to gain the technological advantages that will allow it to pick up market share when industry conditions improve. In fact, today's article has suggested that the bulk of next year's spending will be concentrated on 0.13 micron process technology and production lines for the fabrication of 300-millimeter wafers. Going back to the Goldman note, the analyst, Terry Ragsdale, has made some interesting observations. First, he said he was shocked at the manner in which Intel released its 2002 capex figures as out-year guidance is generally done on the January earnings call; nonetheless, he concedes today's article sounds legitimate because of its source. Secondly, and most importantly for investors, Ragsdale believes Intel's capex plans are proof that Intel is convinced the PC market will rebound next year. If it doesn't, Ragsdale astutely points out that Intel will be setting itself up for an enormous amount of fixed costs that would not be covered by revenues. Intel, for its part, indicated that it couldn't confirm Gelsinger's comment and informed Bloomberg News that it has not made a final decision about its 2002 capex plans. Given the positive manner in which Intel and the chip equipment makers have traded today, however, it is clear the market is hoping Gelsinger spoke the truth and was quoted correctly.-- Patrick J. O'Hare, Briefing.com