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To: 16yearcycle who wrote (9286)	10/22/2001 9:32:10 PM
From: techanalyst1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 57684

Oh heaven forbid we use valuation models from the early 90's! We'll go straight back down! Most TA's don't go back more than two years because it's assumed that there are new investors. The naz is bumping against the 50 day ema. Chart looks ok, stocks look ok, except the declining volume. TA

To: 16yearcycle who wrote (9286)	10/23/2001 12:05:54 AM
From: Bill Harmond	Respond to of 57684

Pure BS. Excuses are for losers: lightreading.com

To: 16yearcycle who wrote (9286)	10/24/2001 12:04:13 PM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 57684

An interesting perspective by Morgan Stanley's Stephen Roach: morganstanley.com <<...All in all, the financial markets are sending us an important message: Investors remain enamored of the rosy scenario. They want very much to believe in the time-honored magic of economic recovery. There is a presumption that America will once again lead the way out, just as it did when the world went to the edge in late 1998. I continue to find myself on the other side of this optimism. Despite the response of the monetary and fiscal authorities, the US economy is now facing two formidable challenges -- coming to grips with its post-bubble excesses (current-account deficit, capacity overhang, low personal saving, and high household debt) and facing the lasting implications of The Attack (higher business operating expenses and lower productivity growth). This tells me that the vigor of any recovery will be short-lived, as will any outbreak of inflation. It also raises serious questions about long-term corporate earnings expectations. Until those considerations get priced into financial markets, I’m not on board...>>

To: 16yearcycle who wrote (9286)	11/14/2001 12:43:44 AM
From: Libbyt	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 57684

Alan Greenspan: The accidental economist HOUSTON, Nov 13 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, perhaps the world's best-known and revered economist, on Tuesday said his choice of profession was a matter of chance. Greenspan said it all started when he was playing as a professional musician in a dance band. In his musical career, the Fed chief played a variety of instruments including the clarinet, the saxophone and the flute. ``I found that in the 20-minute breaks we'd have in between sets that I started to go to the library and read books on economics. Why? I haven't a clue,'' he told an audience at Rice University in Houston after giving a speech on energy policy. ``If I had turned left instead of right (in the library), I may have ended up as a physicist for all I know,'' he said, drawing laughter from the crowd. ``I finally found out that I really was looking forward not to playing during the sets but going to the 20-minute breaks and I said, 'If I'm doing this I'm in the wrong business','' Greenspan said. ``And that is the best economic move, judgment, I have ever made,'' the multimillionaire, who headed an economic consulting firm in New York before joining the Fed in 1987, said. biz.yahoo.com ************* This was posted on another SI board, but I'm posting this article just in case you missed it!