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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mr. Whist who wrote (195306)	10/24/2001 9:31:21 AM
From: Zoltan!	Respond to of 769670

Actually, if you read about the dynamics of the FL Dem primary you'd have to bet on Reno. As part of electoral reform, FL eliminated the runoff primary which kicked in if no candidate got 50%. Now it's whomever gets the most votes, even if that's 2% in a race of 51. That makes the Dem party's South FL base - the most Lib part of the state - party kingmaker. That prospect basically dooms a moderate candidate like Graham, Askew et al and favors one like Reno. Traditionally, extreme Libs would lead in the first primary only to lose the runoff to a less extreme and therefore more electable Dem. I suspect that poll was released by Dems to undermine Reno, a sure loser. They want her out of the race. But in reality, Frankel is no better. I also strongly suspect any Dem will lose against Jeb, the difference is in the margin. As for KY, the trend there has been strongly GOP. Since the present Gov is considered a buffoon, I suspect GOP chances are better than you think. btw, if Kentuckians love their beauty queens, what does that say about FL Dems with Reno and Frankel? Deaf, dumb and certainly blind.