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To: BGR who wrote (130957)	10/24/2001 11:39:29 PM
From: LLCF	Respond to of 436258

Decade or so?? You started in '93 you said... come back in 2003 and let us know, my guess you'll be about even then, and lagging t-bills badly. DAK

To: BGR who wrote (130957)	10/25/2001 11:59:11 AM
From: reaper	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

>>Guess how I have done over the last decade or so in guessing long term market directions? OK, I'll guess. Not well. You have identified yourself as a dollar-cost-averaging, long-term buy-and-hold investor since 1993. Lets say every December 31, starting in 1992, you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. Lets say over the same time period I invested $10,000 in the 10-year zero. By my math, your $90,000 total investment is now worth $139,686. My $90,000 total investment is now worth $135,575. Of course, your ACTUAL experience includes moving some of your money into the Naz 3000+ points ago (and thus performing worse than my S&P example above), but I won't even go there. The point is is that over the last 8 years as a DCA-ing LTB&Holder you have not done any better than the closest equivalent risk-free asset. Cheers