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To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (48304)10/25/2001 11:24:49 AM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
On principle I shouldn't agree with Thomas but when he is right he is right.<VBG>

I, for one, would love to see this kind of comparison done on a regular basis for all the major stocks we follow here. I think that making it explicit would give us a basis for discussing comparative approaches and thus the basis for choosing what we ourselves wanted to use.


Here Hear!

Paul



To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (48304)10/25/2001 12:09:36 PM
From: RobertHChaney  Respond to of 54805
 
Chaz & Thomas have a great idea.

Example: Today, I think ABCD company is worth $X. Here's how I arrived at that figure. Since the company's stock is selling today for $X+Y, that means I think the company's stock is over valued by Z%. (Or undervalued, or fairly valued.)

I, for one, would love to see this kind of comparison done on a regular basis for all the major stocks we follow here. I think that making it explicit would give us a basis for discussing comparative approaches and thus the basis for choosing what we ourselves wanted to use.


I agree that it should be pursued as a integral part of the standard discussion routine in evaluating companies on this board. IMO it deserves as many posts as specific issues such as lock-in, value chain, etc. Because, no matter how complete the evaluation of those specific issues, certain risks will still remain to exist in reality, and can vary widely from the levels perceived in the evaluation. Following the qualitative evaluation, an investor's willingness to take those risks is often dependent on valuation (or should be so). I think this is basically what Judith is saying as well.

This approach should not only provide a more complete evaluation on a given company, but should also create better balance between general and company specific valuation discussions taking place on the board. And, as Thomas suggested, provide us with better understanding and insight into the general valuation technique someone may be advocating.

Cheers, Robert