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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tradelite who wrote (942)10/25/2001 12:10:47 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
<<Believe it or not, this alleged slowdown is much-needed, and would come about naturally at some point.>>

I agree...just like the bursting of the tech bubble was much-needed and came about naturally. Time to burn off the economic underbrush (ie, oversupply, overcapacity, debt and inventory), so new growth can occur. Might take a year or two though....



To: Tradelite who wrote (942)10/25/2001 1:09:28 PM
From: John ChenRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Tradelit,re:"RE". Seems there is a common practice that, if the house is not
sold in certain days, the agent would suggest to take it off and re-enter
later. While the RE has been hot, this kind of 'cooking the book' to reduce
'days on market' is really fraud. I even see 'sold' sign after 'listing' or 'agent'
changes. Suggesting, the house is sold, but switch the 'listing' or 'agent'
right before that. This creates a 'REAL HOT' market, since homes are
sold '0/1 day on market' and '100% asking price'.

Of course, there are some real-hot-property/area like that, and then there are
those fake ones. Well, anything is a game and you need to be on the
right-side.

AG and friends would find plenty of reasons to keep the home prices rising
with 'NO INFLATION'.

In Houston, I saw the 'Hot-market' came to a 'sudden halt' in Aug,1983.
It was so sudden and it's like falling off a cliff. The demand just STOPPED.
It was really something how thing can STOP just like that.

I know 'THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT" and AG are on the RealEstates' side.

Nonetheless, stay away from the 'bubble-areas'. History always repeat
itself. Unless you can stomach 10+years of grinding, (actually you feel
real-estate crashed only during the last couple of years of the long fall).



To: Tradelite who wrote (942)10/29/2001 8:21:27 PM
From: sammasterRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
waht does the 5.4 month supply really mean?
if people cut rate of buying to half of what they did before then that 5.4 month supply is really a 10.8 month supply...
is supply based rate of buying from previous month? or average from previous year?