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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: t2 who wrote (62176)	10/25/2001 8:52:46 PM
From: Dave	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74651

Re Many were so way off target in the acceptance of Windows 98 so I don't put much faith in their analyzing abilities. You must be referring to those articles in the various Windows magazines that said everybody would run out to upgrade, when in fact it turned out that most people were smart enough to realize that there was nothing in Windows 98 that wasn't available for free, and that Windows 98 was largely just a weapon in Microsoft's fight against Netscape. But most of the reviews I read about Windows 98 predicted correctly that most users wouldn't bother to upgrade, and that most people who used Windows 98 would use it because it shipped on their PC. (EDIT: Don't look to the 1/3 of the installed base who still use Pentium IIs and Pentium IIIs to drive this upgrade). I'm hearing the same sort of thing about Windows XP. Most reviewers are recommending that people wait until they need a new PC before bothering with XP. It's just too painful to have to upgrade all of your peripherals and drivers and reinstall everything. I believe that your idea about XP driving upgrades of old PCs is precisely backwards. Only when people finally decide that they need a new PC will they risk upgrading. On the other hand, I do think that a greater percentage of users will upgrade to XP than did to Windows 98. But that's not saying much. Dave