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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: marc ultra who wrote (1549)	10/29/2001 1:12:34 PM
From: Math Junkie	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10065

Here is another prognosticator's outlook for cyclical bulls and bears, which seems to fit in well with Brinker's outlook. Message 16571006 I was particularly impressed with the public self-assessment, of a quality that "many" could do well to emulate.

To: marc ultra who wrote (1549)	10/29/2001 8:46:02 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Respond to of 10065

It seems like Bob's assessment and speculation about where the market is in the grand scheme of things... I agree. Take a look at the following article : "What will the market look like over the next 17 years?" syharding.com Excerpt : The last completed period, 1982-99, was one that averaged 14% annual gains (20%+ the last five years of the period). History says the next period will be one like those of 1901-1921, 1929- 45, and 1966-82, when buy and hold investors made zero, but market-timers and those willing to take intermediate-term trades, could benefit big-time. The only type of market where substantial gains can be made from both the upside and the downside, with few stagnant periods when the market is not moving one way or the other. Our favorite kind of market. So far, the first two years of the period, 2000 and 2001, seem to be confirming what history tells us to expect. Will investors wake up to the changed conditions in time? Or will they wait for Wall Street and the media to give up on the once again failed "buy any time and let time take care of it." approach? That could be a long wait, since it is not in Wall Street's self-serving interest to have investors street smart enough to take profits - ever. That approach is apparently only for institutions and insiders.