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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TREND1 who wrote (22801)10/29/2001 5:03:11 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Do you ever buy at the bottom of the channel or do you usually just try to catch the early part of the channel "formation" and hold until it is breached?



To: TREND1 who wrote (22801)10/29/2001 5:50:37 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 52237
 
S&P sees $100 bln in corporate debt defaults in 2001

NEW YORK, Oct 29 (Reuters) - About $100 billion of
corporate debt will go into default this year, more than twice
as much as ever before, as the United States heads for its
first recession in a decade, a leading credit rating agency
said on Monday.
Standard & Poor's said more than 200 companies will default
on their debt, compared with 117 defaulting on a record $42.3
billion in 2000. It revised its estimated year-end junk, or
high-yield, bond default rate to 9.4 percent from the 8.6
percent it projected three months ago.
"The U.S. economy is clearly in a recession," S&P's chief
economist David Wyss said in a statement. "Although Standard &
Poor's expects it to be relatively mild and end in early 2002,
the risk of a longer and deeper downturn is high."
S&P rates junk bonds "BB-plus" or lower because of their
credit risks.
The rating agency blamed this year's surge in defaults on
recent weakness in junk bonds, which caused prices to fall and
yields to rise, and the reluctance of lenders to extend credit.
"The current flight to quality ... will make it difficult
for stressed obligors to roll over their debts," said David
Keisman, managing director at S&P Risk Solutions. "Many
companies in financial difficulties will see their funding
sources dry up and be pushed over the brink."
Another rating agency, Moody's Investors Service, has
projected a year-end 10 percent junk bond default rate, and
expects the rate to rise to 11 percent by next spring.
(( Jonathan Stempel, U.S. Financial Markets Desk, (646)
223-6317, jon.stempel@reuters.com ))
REUTERS
*** end of story ***



To: TREND1 who wrote (22801)10/29/2001 7:18:11 PM
From: waverider  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Larry, what do you make of the nice highs the first week in October and the 3rd week as compared to what has just happened? Thursday of last week could not make it up to the upper channel line as it did the last two rallies. Seems to portend a bit of weakness to me.

wr