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To: The Ox who wrote (94321)10/30/2001 1:52:28 PM
From: The Ox  Respond to of 95453
 
Message 16580442

Canadian NG update



To: The Ox who wrote (94321)10/30/2001 2:23:49 PM
From: kodiak_bull  Respond to of 95453
 
Michael,

What an ingrate.

:^)

Kb



To: The Ox who wrote (94321)10/30/2001 3:07:08 PM
From: upanddown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
I wouldn't exactly say your comment about the OSX being "capped" at 82 was a great call.

Exactly right, Mike and especially since the lying lil' weasel bailed at 77 and missed another 15% upside. Most of us would consider that a lost opportunity but to SOB, it is just another in his world-record streak of perfect trades. Must be at least up to one thousand..

John



To: The Ox who wrote (94321)11/1/2001 9:44:08 PM
From: Stormin Norman  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Slider,

Are these the little runt chihuahua dogs you talk about? Am I right that they are peaking their heads from under the porch?

Nasty little dudes, aren't they?



To: The Ox who wrote (94321)11/2/2001 11:42:17 AM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Respond to of 95453
 
Happel re:

["We blew right through 82 on the way to 89, so I wouldn't exactly say your comment about the OSX being "capped" at 82 was a great call. It is no surprise to me that you've returned to tout your statement now that we're back at the 82 level."]

...I don't think anyone predicts sector indicies to turn on "exact" tic' numbers.

OSX 82"ish" - means begin to take profits into the move thru it - and/or use it as a sell stop if you let it ride.

My point was that the "TURN" was a TRADE...nothing more, nothing less.

We're fair value-range bound here.

I took everything off the table and only kept some partial profits in "crude-levered" plays and only in "calls" for leverage.

Only a War-Oil supply disruption holds any attraction for this sector at the moment.

.99 cent unleaded gasoline today compared to $1.65+ just weeks/months ago.... slowing global economies - getting slower yet and layoff wave, after layoff wave still coming.

A slowing global economy trumps everything except "WAR" - end of subject.

I'd stipulate that re-tests of sub OSX 60 are decent LT re-entry opps....as well as great trading opps.

The historic bottom band of the OSX is 45-60.... people can and will make money over time there... but; the real world fundamentals still make DOW 6-7000 and a triple digit NASDQ highly probable imho...and that doesn't portend much for OSX stocks here - other than (excepting a "WAR/pop") they'll have to be LONG-TERM holds (vbg).

The PE for S&P stocks today - is over double what it was in the 1990-1 recession... "double"... this market is not priced for the present global economic environment...and it is not cheap on any historic metric...and we have no idea how to price & factor in all of the "Rougue Wave" ramifications of this new "War on Terrorisim" environment.... none at all.

We are clearly in a deflationary environment and we must reflate to keep from further deflation... reflation and a weaker dollar are the obvious cure for what ails us here and gold/silver stocks are the beneficiary of reflation & a weaker dollar....

Auto Mfr's gave away the store here of late... they're going to move to massive layoffs soon... unemployment could easily hit 7% by spring... tic toc'

It's still time to be in a "prevent defense".

good luck; as usual - you guys are going to need it (vbg)

ciao~