To: t2 who wrote (167710 ) 11/1/2001 12:15:31 AM From: calgal Respond to of 176387 Dell: High Single-Digit PC Growth Ahead Wednesday October 31 4:20 PM ET Analyst revises PC expectations, market to shrink for first time in 16 years - (ON24) NEW YORK (Reuters) - Industry-wide personal computer sales may be down this year, but they will turn up and over the next four to five years average in the high single- digit percentage range, Dell Computer Corp. (Nasdaq:DELL - news) chief executive Michael Dell said Wednesday. Dell, speaking to investors at the Prudential Securities technology conference, linked the current sales declines to the economic downturn and said the PC industry has faced the same kinds of doubts about its recovery in the past that it faces now. Global PC sales fell nearly 14 percent during the third quarter, Framingham, Massachusetts research firm IDC said recently. Dell, however, through an aggressive pricing campaign, gained market share during the quarter from its competitors. Michael Dell expects demand from consumers will push PC sales up in the fourth quarter. ``I believe the consumer selling season in the fourth quarter is going to be pretty good,'' Dell said. ``The fourth quarter is always a good quarter for consumers. I think it will be a good quarter this year, as well.'' Growth will be better for the broader industry in 2002, Dell said, citing a government economic stimulus package and the need for corporations to replace machines that are three to four years old as potential boosts to demand. ``We are relatively encouraged with what we see in terms of next year,'' Dell said. Looking out over the next four to five years, Dell suspects the industry's long-term growth rate is in the high single digits. Dell also said he sees more mergers and acquisitions in the computer industry. ``I think the likelihood of further industry consolidation is very high,'' he said. Dell's archrival, Compaq Computer Corp. (NYSE:CPQ - news), announced plans to merge with Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE:HWP - news) in September. Dell is due to announce earnings for its third quarter ended Nov. 2 on Nov. 15. Dell declined to comment on guidance the company gave at the beginning of October for earnings of 15 cents to 16 cents on revenues of $7.2 billion to $7.6 billion. dailynews.yahoo.com