BACKGROUND NOTES: AFGHANISTAN - Part 2 dosfan.lib.uic.edu PUBLISHED BY THE BUREAU OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
ECONOMY Historically, there has been a dearth of information and reliable statistics about Afghanistan's economy. This was exacerbated by the Soviet invasion and ensuing civil war, which destroyed much of the underdeveloped country's infrastructure and disrupted normal patterns of economic activity.
Agriculture The Afghan economy continues to be overwhelmingly agricultural, despite the fact that only 15% of its total land area is arable and less than 6% currently is cultivated. Agricultural production is constrained by an almost total dependence on erratic winter snows and spring rains for water; irrigation is primitive. Relatively little use is made of machines, chemical fertilizer, or pesticides.
Grain production is Afghanistan's traditional agricultural mainstay. Overall agricultural production declined an average of 3.5% per year between 1978 and 1990. This can be attributed to sustained fighting, instability in rural areas, prolonged drought, and deteriorated infrastructure. Soviet efforts to disrupt production in resistance-dominated areas also contributed to this decline. Furthermore, Soviet efforts to centralize the economy through state ownership and control and consolidation of farmland into large collective farms contributed to lower production.
The war against the Soviet Union and the ensuing civil war also led to migration to the cities and refugee flight to Pakistan and Iran, further disrupting normal agricultural production. Recent studies indicate that agricultural production and livestock numbers are less than one-half of what they were in 1978. It is estimated that Afghanistan's food production levels are about 15% lower than what is necessary to feed the population. Shortages are exacerbated by the country's already limited transportation network, which has deteriorated due to damage and neglect resulting from war and the absence of an effective central government.
Opium is increasingly becoming a source of cash for many Afghans, especially since the breakdown in central authority after the Soviet withdrawal. Opium is easy to cultivate and transport and offers a quick source of income for returning refugees and other impoverished Afghans. Afghanistan is the second-largest producer of raw opium in the world, after Burma. In 1993, despite efforts by the U.S. and others to encourage alternative crops, poppy and opium production increased 8% and 7%, respectively, from a year earlier. Much of Afghanistan's opium production is shipped to laboratories in Pakistan and refined into heroin which is either consumed by a growing South Asian addict population or exported, primarily to Europe and North America.
Trade and Industry Trade accounts for a small portion of the Afghan economy, and there are no reliable statistics relating to trade flows. Since the Soviet withdrawal and the collapse of the Soviet Union, other limited trade relationships appear to be emerging with Iran, Pakistan, and the West. Afghanistan trades little with the United States; its 1992 trade is estimated at $6 million. Afghanistan does not enjoy U.S. most-favored-nation (MFN) trading status, which was revoked in 1986.
Afghanistan is endowed with a wealth of natural resources, including extensive deposits of coal, salt, chromium, iron ore, gold, fluorite, talc, copper, and lapis lazuli. Unfortunately, the country's remote and rugged terrain, and inadequate transportation network, usually have made mining these resources unprofitable.
The most important resource has been natural gas, first tapped in 1967. At their peak during the 1980s, natural gas sales accounted for $300 million a year in export revenues (56% of the total). Ninety percent of these exports went to the Soviet Union to pay for imports and debts. However, during the withdrawal of Soviet troops in 1989, Afghanistan's natural gas fields were capped to prevent sabotage by the mujahidin. Restoration of gas production has been hampered by internal strife and the disruption of traditional trading relationships following the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Transportation Landlocked Afghanistan has no rail-ways, but the Amu Darya (Oxus) River, which forms part of Afghanistan's border with Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan, has barge traffic. During their occupation of the country, the Soviets completed a bridge across the Amu Darya and built a motor vehicle and railroad bridge between Termez and Jeyretan.
Most roadbuilding occurred in the 1960s, funded by the U.S. and the Soviet Union. The Soviets built a road and tunnel through the Salang Pass in 1964, connecting northern and southern Afghanistan. A highway connecting the principal cities of Herat, Kandahar, Ghazni, and Kabul forms the primary road system.
The highway system requires significant reconstruction, and regional roads are in a state of disrepair. The poor state of the Afghan transportation and communication networks has further fragmented and hobbled the struggling economy.
Economic Development and Recovery Afghanistan embarked on a modest economic development program in the 1930s. The government founded banks, introduced paper money, established a university, expanded primary, secondary, and technical schools, and sent students abroad for education. In 1956, the Afghan Government promulgated the first in a long series of ambitious development plans. By the late 1970s, these had achieved only mixed results due to flaws in the planning process as well as inadequate funding and a shortage of the skilled managers and technicians needed for implementation.
These constraints on development have been exacerbated by the flight of refugees and the disruption and instability stemming from the Soviet occupation and ensuing civil war. Today, economic recovery and long-term development will depend on establishing an effective and stable political system.
The UN and the international donor community continue to provide considerable humanitarian relief. Since its inception in 1988, the umbrella UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Assistance to Afghanistan (UNOCHA) has channeled $512 million in multilateral cash assistance to Afghan refugees and vulnerable per-sons inside Afghanistan. The U.S. and Japan are the leading contributors to this relief effort. One of its key tasks is to eliminate from priority areas (such as villages, arable fields, and roads) some of the estimated 10 million land-mines which continue to litter the Afghan landscape. Afghanistan is the most heavily mined country in the world; mine-related injuries number up to 100 per month. Without successful mine clearance, refugee repatriation, political stability, and economic reconstruction will be severely constrained.
The UN, through the UN Development Program (UNDP), is expected to play a major role in post-war recovery and reconstruction of Afghanistan. In November 1993, the UNDP Action Plan for the Immediate Rehabilitation of Afghanistan identified more than $600 million in quick- impact development projects which could be implemented within two years where security conditions permit.
FOREIGN RELATIONS Before the Soviet invasion, Afghanistan pursued a policy of neutrality and nonalignment in its foreign relations. In international forums, Afghanistan generally followed the voting patterns of Asian and African non-aligned countries. Following the Marxist coup of April 1978, the Taraki Government developed significantly closer ties with the Soviet Union and its communist satellites.
After the December 1979 invasion, Afghanistan's foreign policy mirrored that of the Soviet Union. Afghan foreign policy-makers attempted, with little success, to increase their regime's low standing in the non-communist world. With the signing of the Geneva accords, Najibullah unsuccessfully sought to end Afghanistan's isolation within the Islamic world and in the Non-Aligned Movement.
Most Western countries, including the United States, maintained small diplomatic missions in Kabul during the Soviet occupation. Many subsequently closed their missions due to instability and heavy fighting in Kabul. Although a few states have reestablished a diplomatic presence in Kabul, most embassies, including that of the United States, remain closed.
Pakistan Two areas--Pashtunistan and Baluchistan--have long complicated Afghanistan's relations with Pakistan. Controversies involving these areas date back to the establishment of the Durand Line in 1893 dividing Pashtun and Baluch tribes living in Afghanistan from those living in what later became Pakistan. Afghanistan vigorously protested the inclusion of Pashtun and Baluch areas within Pakistan without providing the inhabitants with an opportunity for self-determination. Since 1947, this problem has led to incidents along the border, with extensive disruption of normal trade patterns. The most serious crisis lasted from September 1961 to June 1963, when diplomatic, trade, transit, and consular relations between the countries were suspended.
The 1978 Marxist coup further strained relations between the two countries. Pakistan took the lead diplomatically in the United Nations, the Non-Aligned Movement, and the Organization of the Islamic Conference in opposing the Soviet occupation. During the war against the Soviet occupation, Pakistan served as the primary logistical conduit for the Afghan resistance. Pakistan, aided by UN agencies, private groups, and many friendly countries, continues to provide refuge to about 1.4 million Afghans.
Much of Afghanistan remains dependent on Pakistani links for trade and travel to the outside world, and Pakistan views Afghanistan as eventually becoming its primary route for trade with Central Asia.
Iran Afghanistan's relations with Iran have fluctuated over the years, with periodic disputes over the water rights of the Helmand River as the main issue of contention.
Following the Soviet invasion, which Iran opposed, relations deteriorated. The Iranian consulate in Herat closed, as did the Afghan consulate in Mashhad. The Iranians complained of periodic border violations following the Soviet invasion. In 1985, they urged feuding Afghan Shi'a resistance groups to unite to oppose the Soviets. Iran supported the cause of the Afghan resistance and provided limited financial and military assistance to rebel leaders who pledged loyalty to the Iranian vision of Islamic revolution. Iran provides refuge to about 2 million Afghans.
Russia In the 19th century, Afghanistan served as a strategic buffer state between czarist Russia and the British Empire in the sub-continent. Afghanistan's relations with Moscow became more cordial after the Bolshevik Revolution in 1917. The Soviet Union was the first country to establish diplomatic relations with Afghanistan after the Third Anglo-Afghan war and signed an Afghan-Soviet non-aggression pact in 1921, which also provided for Afghan transit rights through the Soviet Union. Early Soviet assistance included financial aid, aircraft and attendant technical personnel, and telegraph operators.
The Soviets began a major economic assistance program in Afghanistan in the 1950s. Between 1954 and 1978, Afghanistan received more than $1 billion in Soviet aid, including substantial military assistance. In 1973, the two countries announced a $200-million assistance agreement on gas and oil development, trade, transport, irrigation, and factory construction. Following the 1979 invasion, the Soviets augmented their large aid commitments to shore up the Afghan economy and rebuild the Afghan military. They provided the Karmal regime an unprecedented $800 million. The Soviet Union supported the Najibullah regime even after the withdrawal of Soviet troops in February 1989. Today, unresolved questions concerning Soviet MIA/POWs in Afghanistan remain an issue between Russia and Afghanistan.
Tajik rebels based in Afghanistan in July 1993 attacked a Russian border outpost in Tajikistan, killing 25 Russians and prompting Russian retaliatory strikes which caused extensive damage in northern Afghanistan. Reports of Afghan support for the Tajik rebels have led to cool relations between the two countries.
Tajikistan Afghanistan's relations with newly independent Tajikistan have been complicated by ongoing political upheaval and civil war in Tajikistan which spurred some 100,000 Tajiks to seek refuge in Afghanistan in late 1992 and early 1993. Tajik rebels seeking to overthrow the regime of Russian-backed former communist Imamali Rahmanov began operating from Afghan bases and recruiting Tajik refugees into their ranks. These rebels, reportedly aided by Afghans and a number of foreign Islamic extremists, conduct cross-border raids against Russian and Tajik security posts and seek to infiltrate fighters and materiel from Afghanistan into Tajikistan.
U.S.-AFGHAN RELATIONS The first extensive American contact with Afghanistan was made by Josiah Harlan, an adventurer from Pennsylvania who was an adviser in Afghan politics in the 1830s and reputedly inspired Rudyard Kipling's story, "The Man Who Would be King."
After the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1934, the U.S. policy of helping developing nations raise their standard of living was an important factor in maintaining and improving U.S.-Afghan ties. From 1950 to 1979, U.S. foreign assistance provided Afghanistan with more than $500 million in loans, grants, and surplus agricultural commodities to develop transportation facilities, increase agricultural production, expand the educational system, stimulate industry, and improve government administration.
In the 1950s, the U.S. declined Afghanistan's request for defense cooperation but extended an economic assistance program focused on the development of Afghanistan's physical infrastructure--roads, dams, and power plants. Later, U.S. aid shifted from infrastructure projects to technical assistance programs to help develop the skills needed to build a modern economy. The Peace Corps was active in Afghanistan between 1962 and 1979.
After the April 1978 coup, relations deteriorated. In February 1979, U.S. Ambassador Adolph Dubs was murdered after Afghan security forces burst in on his kidnapers. The U.S. then reduced bilateral assistance and terminated a small military training program. All remaining assistance agreements were ended after the Soviet invasion.
Following the Soviet invasion, the United States supported diplomatic efforts to achieve a Soviet withdrawal. In addition, generous U.S. contributions to the refugee program in Pakistan played a major part in efforts to assist Afghans in need. U.S. efforts also included helping Afghans living inside Afghanistan. This cross-border humanitarian assistance program increased Afghan self-sufficiency and helped Afghans resist Soviet attempts to drive civilians out of the rebel-dominated countryside. During the period of Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, the U.S. provided about $3 billion in military and economic assistance to Afghans and the resistance movement.
The U.S. Embassy in Kabul was closed in January 1989 for security reasons. The U.S. has supported the peaceful emergence of a broad-based government representative of all Afghans and has been active in encouraging a UN role in the national reconciliation process in Afghanistan. The U.S. provides financial aid for mine-clearing activities and other humanitarian assistance to Afghans through international organizations.
In addition to the efforts of the UN and other donors, the U.S. has provided $328 million in direct bilateral assistance to Afghanistan since 1985 through its cross- border program based in Islamabad, Pakistan. However, assistance levels have fallen dramatically in recent years due to overall budgetary constraints in the U.S. and the difficulties inherent in administering a cross- border aid program. For these reasons, the program is scheduled for closure by the end of 1994.
UN EFFORTS During the Soviet occupation, the United Nations was highly critical of the U.S.S.R.'s interference in the internal affairs of Afghanistan and was instrumental in obtaining a negotiated Soviet withdrawal under the terms of the Geneva accords.
In the aftermath of the accords and subsequent Soviet withdrawal, the United Nations has assisted in the repatriation of refugees and has provided humanitarian aid such as health care, educational programs, and food and has supported mine-clearing operations. The UNDP and associated agencies have undertaken a limited number of development projects. However, the UN reduced its role in Afghanistan in 1992 in the wake of fierce factional strife in and around Kabul. The UN Secretary General has designated a personal representative to head the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Assistance to Afghanistan (UNOCHA) and the Office of the Secretary General in Afghanistan and Pakistan (OSGAP), both based in Islamabad, Pakistan.
TRAVEL NOTES
Travel advisory: The U.S. Department of State warns all U.S. citizens not to travel to Afghanistan. Westerners remain vulnerable to politically and criminally motivated attacks and violence, including robbery, kidnaping, and hostage-taking. Landmines are still prevalent throughout the countryside. There is no U.S. embassy in Afghanistan, and no other diplomatic mission represents U.S. interests or provides consular services.
Climate and clothing: Kabul's climate is similar to Denver's, but drier and dustier. Winter lasts from December through February; summer, mid-May to mid- September. Because of cultural sensitivities, conservative attire is essential.
Customs: Visas required. No immunization requirements at present, but this is subject to change. Check latest information.
Health: No health controls or sanitation regulations govern the safety of foods in markets and restaurants. Travelers and foreign residents are advised to boil drinking water, cook fruits, vegetables, and meats thoroughly, and not to consume local dairy products.
Transportation: Ariana Airlines provides international flights to and from Afghanistan. Bakhtar Airlines provides internal flights between Kabul and regional centers such as Herat, Mazar-i-Sharif, and Kandahar. Taxis are available in Kabul; buses are often overcrowded and uncomfortable.
Telecommunications: The reliability of telecommunications into and out of Afghanistan is erratic at best. Kabul is 9-1/2 hours ahead of Eastern standard time. Commercial cables from the U.S. may take several days to arrive under the best of circumstances. |