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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (43788)11/1/2001 4:33:20 PM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
From SS:

To:Maurice Winn who wrote (3710)
From: Uncle Frank Wednesday, Oct 31, 2001 9:31 PM
View Replies (1) | Respond to of 3727

>> Silicon Investor [along with the rest of Infospace] seems to be in a bad way.
Dreadful. Here's insp's earnings report.

dailynews.yahoo.com.

>> I'd noticed they weren't updating cool posts and a few other glitches so went hunting.

The handwriting's on the wall. The give away was this part of the release:

The company said it would cut about 200 jobs as a result of a reorganization that tied engineering efforts more closely to the companies business lines, which include online search engines and transaction systems.

As far as I can see, SI doesn't tie with insp's other businesses. It's a white elephant that just happened to come along with the go2net acquisition. I think we are facing reductions in service and an increasing number of outages as insp cuts capex and staffing for the site. The best we can hope for is that they will sell SI to an organization that has some appreciation for the business and its potential.

>> The other discussions are weak compared with the SI software, with 10 post scans and other good stuff unavailable on Yahoo!, Raging Bull, MSN, etc.

Have you looked at InvestorsHub? They offer most of the tools we're used to, including PMs. I set up mirror sites for both the g&k and mudge threads over there, just in case.

investorshub.com
investorshub.com

uf



To: Dealer who wrote (43788)11/1/2001 4:51:56 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
NazComp bullish reversal? chart doesnt look it to me
I see a negative trend
Moving Averages have straightened out, now bunched
if QQQ rises above trend barrier at 36-37 toward 40,
then yes a potential bull reversal

what I see is a Cup & Handle pattern
but the cup is so tilted, that it might easily spill its contents

with valuations so skyhigh, and future quarters so uncertain,
and Leading Econ Indicators mostly negative
(with only two positives being under FedReserve control),
I would say that Microsoft or No, the Naz is not reversing
it is likely reflexing off a deep oversold in midSept
and looking really shaky where it rests now

the last favorable court news for Microshaft gave them and Naz a rally in midsummer
but it faded extremely fast
the new XP Windows shipped recently
I read about a $400m marketing budget for it
with PC sector in the shitter, and first negative year for PC's in a decade, it seems to me that The Evil Geek cannot pull up the tech economy by himself

besides, the more I read about business data, the more I learn that inventory/sales ratio is worsening by the month in the tech sector, IT in particular
we have more pain and more layoffs and more bad numbers coming
not better

Naz is trying hard to muster a sustained rally
but it is missing ANY verification with current or leading data
hope and sales pitch is all I see

but I do respect the venerable John Murphy
my guess is that both NazComp and MSFT will give up the ghost soon
what does MSFT offer now?
a PE of 50 and growth of 10-15%
just another stock worth $40-45, at best
their golden years are behind them
their hegemony is a chapter already written

then you have the Asian Epitaph
Taiwan approaching depression
Korea in deep recession
PacRim reeling
and Japan about to hit the toilet flush crank
we have unison worldwide recession deepening

just what the hell will offer Microsoft and Techs added momentum fuel?
security devices? visual databases? bomb sniffers?
$300 per taxpayer? promise of $1000 in four years?

watch the bankruptcies next
that is the leading indicator for my eyes
debt is coming due in a few months with nothing but hot air to pay the bills
/ jim