To: joseph krinsky who wrote (9787 ) 11/3/2001 11:07:40 PM From: MSI Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27666 >"The leaders say 50 -100 years. " That's wishful thinking by people that are hoping to live on the wartime economy. IMO, both Afghanistan and Iraq will fall next year, along with a miraculous "jihad revision" by muslim leaders worldwide, finally realizing fighting the US is hard work("Ow! That hurts, hey Osama let's try somebody else, these Americans are a pain in the arse!). I don't know who they'll go after then, but don't care either. All I know is they change sides when convenient, their jihads are all about warlord power, and they lose power fighting against us when we wreck things for them and cut off aid. We definitely need to avoid a bad ground war. A good ground war like the Gulf would work, but not a bad one, and preferrably let the locals take over. When Afghanistan and Iraq are occupied, what's left is to monitor the transition to participatory regimes. As you point out, we can then do pretty much whatever we will, that is, of course, if we can avoid the temptation to get in the middle of things with 10 other countries fighting amongst themselves, and admit we don't know their answers, they have to get it themselves. I'm including Israel and Saudi Arabia on that list. It might take a political shake-up here in the US to cut out the $15 billion in foreign aid in dollars and weapons that helps fuel these problems, but eventually people will wise up. The thing to be afraid of is current administration's temptation to the Orwell-type "forever war", due to it's enormous political benefits to the party in power. The only protection against that is to be RABIDLY AND VICIOUSLY PRO-DISCLOSURE, about every friggin' thing that can't be justified as a bona-fide military secret in the near term, with every other "national security" claim automatically considered hogwash. And all such kept secrets are to be disclosed promptly, with full recourse for any criminality or just plain hanky-panky, whether it be POWs they don't want us to know about, or oil deals or assassinations, whatever. The American people pay in lives and dollars, the administration works for us, and the Republic can only be kept strong by forcing recourse on politicians, 'cause it'll never happen otherwise. "trust, but verify", as the man said. To that end, consider 50-100 years to be wishful thinking, not just by the enemy (who also benefits from "forever war") but by our side too.