To: Doc Bones who wrote (8841 ) 11/4/2001 3:40:06 AM From: KLP Respond to of 281500 From the Straits Times in Singapore: Allies must take stronger act now NOV 2, 2001 straitstimes.asia1.com.sg Allies must take stronger action now By M.P BHANDARA RAWALPINDI (Pakistan) - It is a race against time. Pakistan is the keystone in the allied arch. And although the government of President Pervez Musharraf is holding firm at the moment, it is getting frayed at the edges. Consider: The writ of the Pakistan government scarcely runs in the Malakand agency in the North-West province. The Karakoram highway leading to Gilgit and China has been blocked at different places by pro-Taleban Pakistanis. And 10,000 armed men have collected at the Pakistan-Afghanistan border in Bajaur agency since last Friday to join in jihad against the United States, awaiting entry permission from the Taleban. Christians were massacred in a church last Sunday in Bahawalpur by Islamic extremists. One suspected group is the Jaish-e-Mohammed. It claimed responsibility for the car bomb massacre of more than 40 people in Srinagar on Oct 1. An airstrip in the north has been taken over by protesters. Adding to these woes, Abdul Haq, the most respected fighter among the exiled King's supporters, got himself trapped in Afghanistan and was eliminated by the Taleban. At the moment there are few visible signs of an anti-Taleban Pashtun force. When I met the King's representatives last week in Islamabad, they claimed to have the support of 9,000 warriors. With the death of Abdul Haq, this force, if it ever existed, must be seriously dented. The Taleban defence tactic in Kabul of seeking cover among the civilian population has succeeded. The onus is on the Americans to inflict heavier collateral damages, and thus add fuel to the flames of revolt in Pakistan and the public outcry in the West. Nov 17, the day Ramadan commences, is a deadline for at least two reasons. If bombing and overt military actions of the allies continue in the holy month, this is likely to intensify internal strains in the Punjab - the Pakistani heartland. The army, which within its ranks has quite a few fundamentalists, would have little stomach to quell a large-scale civilian protest. In addition, by the end of this month, the northern areas of Afghanistan will be snowbound, a condition that favours a military stalemate. FROM OSAMA TO OMAR IF THE allies are not to get bogged down in an endless no-win war chasing and missing shadows from high above, the coalition must bite the bullet let loose its commando forces to capture at least two major cities, possibly Kabul and Kandahar, before Ramadan. The view in Pakistan is that the US reluctance to suffer casualties has much delayed ground action. Ground forces should have entered Afghanistan much earlier. The emphasis as regards the main target of this war should shift from Osama bin Laden to Mullah Omar. The former without the latter is rendered considerably less effective and hence easier to smoke out. The Northern Alliance is anything but an alliance. General Fahim, military commander of the alliance, would be glad to string up his partner, Abdul Rasul Sayyaf, at the first opportunity because he is convinced that Mr Sayyaf instigated the killing on Sept 8 of Ahmed Shah Massoud, the late leader of the alliance. In recent days the credibility of the King has been nowhere near what it was at the opening of hostilities, especially after the elimination of the redoubtable Commander Haq. In this ever-changing landscape a possibility that has surfaced is a Taleban leadership without Omar that might be prepared to reach a compromise with the Americans. Pakistan could broker this, once Omar was eliminated. Americans would be well advised not to ride the high horse when dealing with the Afghans. The evidence against Osama should be presented to a panel of Muslim judges known to the Organisation of the Islamic Conference for their judicial integrity. One of the contributing reasons for Pakistan's turnabout after Sept 11 was the compelling nature of the evidence provided by the Central Intelligence Agency to Pakistan intelligence last year on Osama's culpability in the bombings of the US embassies in East Africa. If a respected panel of Muslim judges were to find that Osama had a case to answer for the East Africa bombings as well as the Sept 11 terrorism, this might help bring about a qualitative change in the present anti-American feelings running high in the billion-strong Islamic world. The future is a land without any maps, but one thing is certain: The world will not be the same again after Sept 11. A terrorist's bullet, which assassinated Archduke Ferdinand in 1914, inaugurated the real 20th century. Will Sept 11 mark the beginning of the real 21st? The writer is a Rawalpindi businessman and a former member of the Pakistan National Assembly. He contributed this comment to the International Herald Tribune. Copyright @ 2001 Singapore Press Holdings. All rights reserved.