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To: uu who wrote (415)11/6/2001 5:32:00 AM
From: 2MAR$  Respond to of 2926
 
The Turkish Model ....

opinionjournal.com

America's ally is poised to lead the Muslim world.

BY MELIK KAYLAN
Thursday, October 25, 2001 12:01 a.m. EDT

As American eyes scan eastward across a troubled Islamic horizon of equivocal friends and outright enemies, they should rest their gaze on Turkey, an unfaltering ally, and take heart. Turkey's decades-long fortitude in the service of Western interests and a Pax Americana has garnered meager applause from its allies--and a ton of trouble from its regional rivals. Yet it remains our most dependable resource in the Islamic world, and, as the world's most successful secular Muslim democracy, is set to play perhaps the most critical role of all our allies. We should dance a jig of gratitude for what Turkey has endured for our side up to now, because it points the way to what it could do for us henceforward.

The Turks have outfaced and outlasted all of the last century's devouring political upheavals. Consider how their neighbors--from the Balkans, the Soviet bloc, and in the Middle East--succumbed to the various temptations of fascism, communism, nonalignment, and Islamic fundamentalism, when Turkey did not. The country has not always presented a pretty face during its self-protective exertions, especially in the area of human rights. Encircled by the likes of Russia, Iran, Iraq and Syria, Turkey has perforce maintained a kind of "Bunker Democracy."

How else, one might ask, could Turkey have stayed the course while permitting the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to station anti-Soviet ICBMs within its borders, making it a prime nuclear first-strike target, and letting the U.S. use its airbases against Iraq, once a valuable trading partner? The same grim self-discipline kept the Turks from recent foreign adventures in defense of their ethnic cousins who were enduring slaughter in Bosnia, Azerbaijan and Chechnya.

But now it's time for the Turks, with Western support and encouragement, to come out of their bunker and exert themselves in shaping history outside their borders. That they were among the first allies to volunteer unconditional support for the U.S., offering everything from bases to soldiers, shows that they are willing. Their record shows that they are able. What remains is for the West to help Turkey mobilize its potential.

Turkey offers pivotal strategic and cultural salients in the fight against Islamic terrorism. For the immediate purposes of a possible ground war in Afghanistan, the battle-readiness of Turkish troops among allied forces will prove invaluable. Turkey has NATO's largest standing army in Europe, and has just fought a fierce internal war against Kurdish Marxists in terrain and conditions not unlike Afghanistan. Politically, the troops' very presence in their midst furnishes the allies with an early propaganda victory. This is not a West-vs.-Islam crusade, because nonfundamentalist Muslims such as Turks will fight for the Western side.
Moreover, the Turks already have a regional interest in Afghan affairs: Their Turkic cousins, the Uzbeks, have a sizable minority living in Afghanistan that supports the Northern Alliance. Leaders of the Afghan-Uzbek militia such as Gen. Rashid Dostum have, over the years, spent time in Turkey. And like the Turks, both the Uzbeks in Uzbekistan and their fellow ethnic Uzbeks who live in Afghanistan have adhered to a secular form of Islam for almost a century.

In the post-Soviet era, Afghanistan's Uzbek militias have received their war materiel from Russia, which has meant that many other Afghan Muslims and nationalists have viewed them with suspicion. This has set back the cause of secular Muslims in Afghanistan. But it has suited Russian strategy perfectly well. Russia has used the threat of Islamic fundamentalism to retain a post-Soviet colonial hold on its former Central Asian client states, the "stans," such as Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, several of which abut the Afghan border. Several are also hugely rich in natural resources, enough to shift the world's dependence on Mid-east oil.

Although most of these states are ethnically Turkic, Turkey has stayed out of the fray. But important shifts have begun to unfold in the region's alignments. Uzbekistan has allowed the U.S. to use its military bases in early contravention of Russian directives. Indeed, American and British special forces are already said to be operating from those Uzbek bases.

Now is the time for Turkey, as a Western proxy, to replace Russia's influence in the area. This will have several salutary strategic effects. It will deprive the region's militant Islamists of an important legitimizing anticolonial role. It will invalidate the invocation of "jihad" among those who wish to export fundamentalism against the Turkic states, since a war fought against other Muslims--aligned with Turkey, not Russia--is no jihad. It will create a secular Turkic continuum, or bloc of states, to counteract both the Iranian and Pakistan-Afghan fundamentalism abroad in the region. Ultimately, it will also help free up strategic reserves of oil and gas, currently under Russian veto, possessed by ex-Soviet republics. Alleviating the region's poverty is perhaps the most obvious counter to the appeal of Islamic fundamentalism.
And yet, the infusion of wealth has not exactly countered it in Saudi Arabia. Which is where Turkey's cultural role in the region also becomes paramount. For centuries, the Ottoman Empire presided over Muslim doctrine and much of Islam's geography. Its subjects lived under a precise and codified system of multiethnic religious tolerance. One might say, with hindsight, that the Ottomans conferred a sanity on the Middle East that has not existed since their departure. These days, Turkey endures as the most prominent secular Muslim society in the world; indeed as one of Islam's few functioning democracies, Turkey and its Kemalist system can furnish other Muslim countries with an alternative model to the fundamentalism of Saudi-built mosques and maddrassas.

The U.S., and the British before them, championed the Gulf states and Saudi Arabia for decades. The result is evident for all to see: Saudi cultural influence has grown out of all proportion, allowing them to export their primitive home-grown form of jihadist Wahhabism throughout the world. The time is long overdue for the West to help effect an equivalent but countervailing dissemination of the Turkish model through the Islamic geosphere.

There is no reason why Indonesia or Malaysia, so far from the Mideast, should opt for an Arabian approach to religion except that it was the only one on offer. Several non-Arab Muslim countries have elected women prime ministers. For these cultures, the Kemalist system with its liberation of women to dress, work, travel and study in relative freedom, is surely more sympathetic than the Saudi variety. Turkey can be to Islam what Hong Kong was to China, an example that ultimately prevails because it advertises a manifestly better life gained through a freer pursuit of happiness.

However, the West must foster and abet Turkey's elevation into the role of paradigm, as it did successfully with Hong Kong and so disastrously with the Saudis. The throw-weight of the Turkish message depends on the success of Turkey's economy, the expansion and export of its secular education system, the optimism of its pro-Western youth culture.



Turks have already done much of the work for us. Istanbul today is one of the most entrancing and dynamic cities on earth, certainly in the Islamic world. Like Hong Kong was to China, Istanbul too stands in colorful contrast to the dour circumspection that prevails in most Islamic capitals. Many a hypocritical fundamentalist repairs there to savor its douceur de vivre along with a good many refugees from the Muslim world's myriad self-strangling economies.
However unwittingly, the Turks have already crafted a cultural product much in demand.

For our own sakes, it's time the West helped package it and export it to the Muslim world.



To: uu who wrote (415)11/6/2001 7:03:19 AM
From: 249443  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2926
 
Turkey & Nixon

11/5/2001

NY Times

The Turkey Card

By WILLIAM SAFIRE

Reached by cell phone in purgatory, where he is expiating his sin of
imposing wage and price controls, Richard Nixon agreed to an interview with
his former speechwriter.

Q: How do you think the war in Afghanistan is going?

Nixon: You call that a war? Light bombing of a bunch of crazies with
beards, based on a policy of Afghanization before you even get started?
That's strictly reactive and purely tactical.

Q: Would you send in a couple of divisions of American ground troops?

Nixon: No. The Bush people are employing the right tactics in their "phase
I" — suppressing terrorist operations, helping the opposition make trouble,
playing for breaks with payoffs and assassinations. What they fail to see
is the global picture. They need to develop a grand strategy.

Q: Which is —

Nixon: Know your real enemy. It's not just bin Laden and his terrorist
cells. It's the movement threatening to take over the Islamic world. Those
beards and their even more dangerous state sponsors want the Saudi and
Kuwaiti oil. That would give them the money to build or buy the nuclear and
germ weapons to eliminate the reasonable Muslims and all the Christian and
Jewish infidels.

Q: How would you stop them?

Nixon: Split 'em, the way we split the Communist monolith by playing the
China card against the Soviets. Your generation's card is Turkey, the
secular Muslim nation with the strongest army.

Q: The Turks have already volunteered a hundred commandos — you mean we
should ask for more?

Nixon: Get out of that celebrity- terrorist Afghan mindset. With the world
dazed and everything in flux, seize the moment. I'd make a deal with Ankara
right now to move across Turkey's border and annex the northern third of
Iraq. Most of it is in Kurdish hands already, in our no-flight zone — but
the land to make part of Turkey is the oil field around Kirkuk that
produces nearly half of Saddam Hussein's oil.

Q: Doesn't that mean war?

Nixon: Quick war, justified by Saddam's threat of germs and nukes and
terrorist connections. We'd provide air cover and U.N. Security Council
support in return for the Turks' setting up a friendly government in
Baghdad. The freed Iraqis would start pumping their southern oil like mad
and help us bust up OPEC for good.

Q: What's in it for the Turks?

Nixon: First, big money — northern Iraq could be good for nearly two
million barrels a day, and the European Union would fall all over itself
welcoming in the Turks. Next, Turkey would solve its internal Kurd problem
by making its slice of Iraq an autonomous region called Kurdistan.

Q: But that would mean new borders, and don't Arab states worry about
dismemberment?

Nixon: Turks are Muslims but not Arabs. When Syria was the base for
terrorist operations against Turkey, the Turks massed troops on the border
and Damascus caved, kicking the terrorist boss out of the country and he's
now in a Turkish jail. And what's the big deal about new borders? Iraq was
a 20th-century British concoction. Only 50 years ago, Israel became a
state, and soon there'll be a Palestinian state. New times, new borders.

Q: Speaking of Israel —

Nixon: Let me say this about that. I'd tell Sharon to annex the Jordan
valley, to protect Jordan, but then to hand over the rest of the West Bank
or he's down the tubes. I know you disagree, Bill, but we're going for the
grand strategic enchilada. Then I'd tell the Saudis and other rich Arabs to
build good housing and plants in Palestine or accept a million Palestinian
immigrants. With Iraq's threat neutralized and Iran coming around, the
sheiks will ante up in a hurry.

Q: But what about punishing bin Laden in Afghanistan —

Nixon: Change the flow of money and power in the Middle East and bin Laden
and his boys will fall into our hands like rotten fruit. Just use this
crisis to reshuffle the deck and break out of the trap. Leapfrog "phase I"
and there'll be no heavy allied casualties, no parades to stop the bombing,
no Taliban, no germ scares. I have to go expiate now. Call me soon about
Russia. How do you turn this damn new phone off?