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To: AllansAlias who wrote (20031)11/8/2001 8:37:06 AM
From: byhiselo  Respond to of 209892
 
it seems obvious the shorts will be made to cover

at the highs -g

i'm expecting a reversal to downside sometime today
will be adding to shorts on any ramp this morning

let's get it on

edit: kicker would be if VIX gets down to 25-26 today



To: AllansAlias who wrote (20031)11/8/2001 8:58:05 AM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
To:Zeev Hed who wrote (3890)
From: traderjml Thursday, Nov 8, 2001 8:28 AM
Respond to of 3912

Market Overbought, Jay Shartsis of Thestreet.com
Lately, the most accurate indicator I look at has been the mirror-image OEX put/call ratio. Here is how the indicator works: It is very bullish when out-of-the-money OEX puts are priced more than 10 times the out-of-the-money OEX calls. The puts were as much as 18 to 1 about two weeks ago, which was very bullish. They were still 5 to 1 earlier this week. That has now changed. As I write this on Wednesday afternoon, the OEX is 576 and the November 545 put is bid 2.10, and its counterpart, the November 605 call, is bid 0.90. This has to be rated as bearish. In the past, I have seen the call priced more than the put, which is quite bearish -- but that situation is very rare, and I wouldn't wait for it.

During the rally Wednesday, the OEX November 590 call was also unable to move up, even when the S&P December future was up about five points. This nonconfirmation is unusual; the OEX calls normally move up if their pricing mechanism, the S&P futures, moves up. When they don't it is often a warning sign of an imminent selloff. This, by the way, is a very short-term indicator.

The Nasdaq market has now recorded a five-day TRIN or Arms Index of 4.81, and that's very overbought. There have also been quite a few episodes of "plus ticks" above 1000 on the NYSE; a high of + 1231 was seen on Tuesday. That reading is associated with a sharply overbought condition

Message 16626261



To: AllansAlias who wrote (20031)11/8/2001 9:03:58 AM
From: john722  Respond to of 209892
 
Perfect Spot For a D+T

D+T= Distribute and Trap. Lots of positive News. Up on negative, down on positive? Dunno, but learning to think
like a crook in these markets has helped my trading a great deal. Just a thought. Still have room to go up though....