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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: craig crawford who wrote (924)11/9/2001 2:00:17 PM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1643
 
Massive moves in base metals today, copper up 2.5c, zinc up 1.3c, lead up 1c.
Villarzu of Chile's Codelco on Copper Prices, Demand: Comment
2001-11-09 13:07 (New York)

Santiago, Nov. 9 (Bloomberg) -- Juan Villarzu, president of
Chile's Codelco, the largest copper producer, comments on the
outlook for copper prices and the company's development strategy.
Codelco, which accounts for 15 percent of world copper output,
said it may make less copper than expected next year by mining ore
with a lower content of copper.

``We don't have the least doubt that the situation the copper
market is going through today is essentially short-term. The price
of copper will return to a normal level once the crisis the world
economy is going through is over.''

``We should expect that the price of copper should recover to
what we call a normal long-term level of between 90 cents, or a
minimum of about 90 cents, per pound of copper. That's the
framework that Codelco and generally all the companies in the
industry use to develop their long-term outlook and their
strategic vision.''

On the company's plan to consider to mine ore with a lower
content of copper, which would trim expected output next year:

``We're revising our mining plans, because in light of recent
events we've arrived at a situation with short-term prices
that will be less than we had estimated not long ago.''

``When there is a big difference between the short-term and
long-term price, the economic logic suggests that an operational
measure that you can take is to save the higher-grade ore for when
prices are better.''

Codelco's long-term ``plans of production and business plans
won't be altered.''

On worldwide production cuts:

``To ask Codelco or any company to reduce production when
it's more efficient that others doesn't make sense.''

``All of the cuts in production that have been done
correspond to high-cost operations. When I say high-cost, in
general we're talking about operations with costs that are close
to 90 cents or above.''

An exception would be Escondida, the world's biggest copper
mine. Escondida plans to reduce output by mining ore with a lower
content of copper.

On investment plans:

``This is the moment to invest in copper. Copper has a
promising future. We're in a situation that clearly is short-
term.''

It's the moment ``to take advantage of the opportunities that
the market situation gives us now to be able to advance in a
business that is key for the country and for us as a company.''

--Heather Walsh in Santiago (562) 638-6820 or
hlwalsh@bloomberg.net, or through the New York newsroom (212) 318-
2730/sb