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To: JRI who wrote (21030)11/13/2001 4:07:10 PM
From: Doo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
The VIX rarely moves lower like you are hoping in a big hurry, JRI. Up in a hurry, yes. Down, rarely.

For a time frame....how about when you get a bunch of technicians screaming that the 50ma is cutting up through the 200ma on the major indices? It's not that far away. But, that won't happen in a few days or weeks, but it is the kind of thing that will need to happen in order to get the kind of complacency that marks significant intermediate term turns....the opposite of the one we had on 9/21.



To: JRI who wrote (21030)11/13/2001 4:15:01 PM
From: marginmike  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Weve bounced off 28.50 3X in a week where the markets have been up substantially. As I said the other day a catalyst(Kabul) would compell the complacency and make everyone believe that the war was the real reason the market had gone down, not valuation's. This should be happening as we speek, and by dec-jan the bulls will be frothy again.


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