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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (1926)11/14/2001 8:49:29 PM
From: bill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11633
 
Coal trusts dance to the tune of oil and natural gas prices.
Coal becomes more and more desirable as both o&G rise.
However, crude oil dropped 1.97 a barrel today. That is
reflected in the price of the oily trusts. Since they
all are used for much the same purposes: heating, fuel
for vehicles of various kinds, power generation, they
are inextricably linked. Coal has suffered for years,
not for environmental reasons, but because of cheap oil
and gas. There is some inflexibility built into the system
of course, because of capital costs. Thank goodness. It
gives some predictability and sustainability of prices.
A lot of the rush to announce new generation plants has
disappeared with the fall of O&G prices. No use bldg new
plants if the Russkies and OPEC are going to have a price
war. With oil at 9-10 dollars a barrel,nobody is bldg
anything. OPEC seems to have got agreement but the
Russians are desperate for hard currency and there may
be a deal with the US re the US buying Russian oil.
Russia gets the hard currency. The US gets cheap oil to
help get its economy out of recession. It also has got
cooperation re bases for operations against Bin Laden.
OPEC gets a lesson
about the difference between major and minor powers.

We may be seeing a major shift in alignments. US and
Russian interests are beginning to line up. But...
who knows.

Coal trusts? I've looked at them. Six months ago they
seemed like a sure bet. Now, I'm going to give them a pass
until I see some evidence that oil and gas are going back
up.

Just saw a bulletin that says OPEC agrees to cut oil
production by 6%. that's great but it is meaningless unless
non-OPEC oil producers are onside.