Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bruce Brown who wrote (48907)	11/14/2001 5:03:19 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 54805

Anybody who saw Robin Williams in his student days and early performing days would have recognized the potential for a long revenue stream. Ditto for Placido Domingo yep, and ten thousand also-rans for each of these "oh i recognized him"s. who's to say there won't be another cherry picked winner a decade or two from now to look back upon and frown with a comment "sorry, but this is just post-hoc cherry-picking"? sure, everybody likes to think they were destined or whatever for greatness. but the survivor bias here is severe. ten thousand also-rans. hmmm, sounds like a band name, but odds are they aren't famous... getting back to your original question, large cap growth has been the second worst performer in US equities since 1926. only small growth was worse. small value did best, followed by large value. these are the results spit out from the terrain of the entire market over its modern history, and the findings are highly statistically significant. you can check it out--read Fama/French. please show me the statistically significant results from academic studies showing that people can identify underpriced stocks in advance in today's market according to gorilla game theory and make massive profits on them.