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To: Tom Kearney who wrote (9650)11/15/2001 12:42:13 AM
From: Bill Harmond  Respond to of 57684
 
Blodget leaves Merrill

nytimes.com



To: Tom Kearney who wrote (9650)11/15/2001 4:41:04 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Respond to of 57684
 
Briefing: 15:11 ET ONI Systems (ONIS) 8.62 +0.20 (+2.4%): -- Update -- Finding late buy interest as reports hit the market that company's CEO is talking up the quarter; apparently saying that business is going well.



To: Tom Kearney who wrote (9650)11/15/2001 4:43:07 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Respond to of 57684
 
Briefing: 15:37 ET Celera Genomics (CRA) 28.09 +2.04 (+7.8%): Stock trading up 8% on midday note from Banc of America: Axys merger a major positive for CRA (should close tomorrow), makes CRA look more like an integrated biopharma. Merger very complementary: Axys has several advanced preclinical project, CRA has money, exposure, and instrumentation. Most promising N-T drug in Axys pipeline is osteoporosis drug that is partnered with MRK (royalty rate high single digits). CRA holding analyst day on Dec 12.



To: Tom Kearney who wrote (9650)11/15/2001 6:50:07 PM
From: 16yearcycle  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
Tom,

The yardeni fed model has gone neutral, the Vix is under 28, and oracle is weak, so I am cutting back asap, down to about 60% long. I'll ramp up if we can get a 10% correction, the vix gets back over 32, or the fed model gets back to about 5-10% undervalued range.

Full disclosure: I went from 200% invested to about 100% long about two weeks ago, anticipating these indicators would give a warning then, which they did not do, primarily because of the strength of the 10 and 30 year bond, until the last two days.The point is I got worried too early and may still be. Certainly the momentum is incredible and feels like the first q of 2000.