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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (24173)	11/15/2001 12:07:20 PM
From: Paul Shread	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

>>I wonder what the measures are for the early signs of the end of recessions? << Three straight months of improvement in NAPM, capacity utilization, and industrial production is one.

To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (24173)	11/15/2001 12:12:37 PM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

I was speaking about the historical calendar performance of small caps. This is the best time of year to be in them, historically. Coming out of a recession would be extra fuel for them. As for leading economic indicators- The market is the best leading economic indicator for the economy. It's not always correct, but it does always lead. Not sure what all is included in the various leading economic indicators. I think interest rates have to be in there, stock prices of course, factory orders probably. Maybe the ECRI web site has info on its indicators. You could check Dismal.com too.