To: Petz who wrote (148350 ) 11/15/2001 7:22:47 PM From: wanna_bmw Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894 Petz, Re: "You said, Show me where Intel says this. Obviously non-channel sales, i.e., direct sales were reduced in Q3 vs. Q2, since overall CPU sales were up less than 5% and channel sales were up 25%." Thanks. Now can you show me where Intel says that overall CPU sales were up less than 5%? That would of course complete the logic to your conclusion, and this missing piece of information is really where I have the most trouble believing. To make my point, consider that in Q3, Intel's IAG group made $5.4 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion of that was income. In Q2 IAG made $5.1 billion in revenue and had $1.5 billion in income. That's basically $4.1 billion in expenses during Q3 and $3.6 billion in expenses during Q2. Assuming minimal cost reductions, that's a 14% increase in production. Since 14% involves all of IAG, the CPU portion may be larger. Since the 25% number that Intel mentions is in volumes shipped, that includes CPUs produced that quarter, and inventories that they had from previous quarters (they did say they reduced inventories). Essentially, Intel could have increased channel output by 25%, and still increased direct sales, too. Re: "we are hearing stories of channel customers being told that some P4 chips can only be obtained directly from Intel. It couldn't come at a better time for AMD, because white-boxers and 2-3 Tier mail order/internet vendors will be only too happy to market an Athlon XP 1900+ as being equivalent to at least a 1900 MHz P4." You may be correct, but how much does this buy AMD, and how much will Intel be growing at the same time? wbmw