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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 1:06:21 AM
From: MSI  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 36161
 
Anyone have recommendations on aggressive bear funds?

I'm ahead 50% since Oct. and want to look what to do if there's a reversal, but can't watch the market closely enough to short individual stocks



To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 1:08:53 AM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
More on next months retail sale numbers<G>

Saw this post another thread (a few minutes after responding to the article Peter pasted). The poster quoted below lives in New England. And, per my earlier post to Peter, ran into the same kind of dept store sales environment yesterday, in Ohio.

We're talking an across the board pump job to artificially inflate retail sales numbers, folks. If W.S. is telling us the truth about the economy getting stronger, then why the frantic efforts to clear the shelves so early?!

Could it be retail executives are being told one story by W.S. and the public a very different one? NO!<lol>

And it would serve another convenient purpose IF the above assumption is true. W.S. can hype the hell out of these empty sales numbers. And surprise, surprise.....insiders dump their equity holdings into public buying based on the concerted W.S. spin tale that the economy is about to come out of this malaise.

And then?

Watch those stock dive in January/February when J6P discovers too late that every sale was at a loss as retailers report huge losses instead of earnings.

"Say it ain't so...." Iso.

After the many expose' posts and news stories over the past year about W.S. screwing the public. Does anybody think Iso is being cynical here?

Anyway here's the excerp from the SA II post by Susan G.

<Well I was there today. The one department store I went into was crowded...but I never saw so many 40% to
50% sale signs in my life. With extra 10% off coupons on any item too...

They are given the stuff away, just like all the auto dealers. New winter merchandise, too. Not last season's
leftovers have these markdowns. The huge percentage sale signs everywhere are a sign of desperation.

And I guess the market will be trading off of retail sales numbers for months to come.

Scary.>

Yup. Till earning are released, that is.<lol>. Not that hard to see the next W.S. crank job, spin job, SNOW JOB!!!....comin' folks. The retail sales hype gimmick. PT Barmum lives!!!

Isopatch



To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 1:15:29 AM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Respond to of 36161
 
LOL.. thanks. I will. ooops. I have. ooops..

thanks for the heads up backwards.



To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 1:38:03 AM
From: Davy Crockett  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Good set of eyes Iso. Nice catch:)

Could that be a right shoulder developing on the Monthly chart of the American dollar? stockcharts.com[w,a]miclyymy[d19900101,20011119][pc5!c21!b50!b100!h.02,.20!i!b200!f][vc60][iUl14!Lc20!La12,26,9!Lh14,3!Lb14!Lg] & check out those indicators -- overbought.

ADX suggests that the prior trend up is weakening & to verify it, check out the negative divergence occurring between price & MACd.

3 year Daily chart clown buck stockcharts.com[w,a]dillyymy[d19970101,20011117][pb50!b100!b200!i!f][vc60][iUl14!Lc20!La12,26,9!Lh14,3!Lb14!Lg]

Since ADX is well below 20, check out the Slow Stochastics topping out & turning down from 80, also note that everytime the RSI hit 70 with ADX below 20; the U.S $ turned down.

The 50 simple moving average is under both the 100 & 200 day MA's & it also appears that the 100 day moving average is rolling over & about to cross under the 200 simple moving average for the first time since Oct. 1999 & Oct. 1998.

& we all know what happened in '98

Regards,
Peter



To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 7:01:09 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Market indeed approaching peak, but I expect one more strong push before this rally peters out. I will be VERY SURPRISED if the boys do not get the Dow above 10000 before this thing ends. A Dow close close 10000 would trigger a lot excitement and pull in even more dumb money before they pull the plug.



To: isopatch who wrote (4172)11/19/2001 10:15:18 AM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
For three days in a row the S&P futures reached 1150 in the night session but failed to get that high in real trade.

Today's fourth time was a charm. Exhaustion?

ATG