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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Murrey Walker who wrote (44378)11/21/2001 4:23:32 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
for starters, imagine we severely up the pressure on Iraq and Sodomy
did you notice US navy boarded Iraqi oil vessel, and it sank?
not much publicity on that one, for some strange reason
could there have been an exchange of gunfire, and a missile launched?
what happened to the two US seamen?

so as we up the pressure, Iraq's neighbors will object or squirm
the Arab members of this Motley Coalition will show strain at the seams
if anything out of the ordinary happens next, it will be bad for the region
and that will be bad for oil and its shipping lanes

WE ARE GOING AFTER SODOMY NEXT... mark my words
the US Pentagon has formulated plans already
they are seeking the smoking guns for evidence
such evidence will be found, I am certain
if not with anthrax, then will Al Qaeda training centers
word has come from Iraq Natl Congress guys that outside of Bagdaddy,
a training facility is in operation to teach takeovers of jetliners

pressure will be brought on Iraq, Iran, and by proximity Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, UAE
so far the entire conflict has been contained, far from the oil region
I seriously doubt the containment will continue for much longer

IT WILL BE IN OPEC'S BEST (PRICE) INTEREST TO REDUCE PRODUCTION
AND PERHAPS EVEN TO ALLOW SHIPPING LANES TO BE CURTAILED
Russia has infuriated OPEC and Saudi Arabia in particular lately
the USA is playing a dangerous game of OIL brinksmanship now
(visavis Russia and Saudi Arabia)

Arabs must see the US as vulnerable with its economy
they wont mind seeing supply lines threatened or flow curtailed
the Russia card will prove to be a dangeous card that we have played
Russia's participation has been lowrisk on the Afghan battle scene
but it is a major F.U. to the Arab Oil states

I predict the conflict will touch off the Middle East powderkeg
it will be gradual and inexorable, with oil price consequences
war is chaos, very difficult to contain
we will see
but I am on record, MurreyMan
/ Jim