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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: isopatch who wrote (4356)	11/23/2001 2:23:19 PM
From: gold$10k	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 36161

Iso, re: DEFLATION I can confirm that I will personally be earning and spending less in the coming years <g>. For the past 18 years, I have worked mostly at home designing electronic products to be manufactured by my clients. I see that era coming to an end (only a trickle of work for the past 3 months), which is why I am selling my house and moving to a less expensive (and less traffic congested) area for an earlier than I had expected semi-retirement. Time to get my chops back together on the guitar and fiddle <g>. vt

To: isopatch who wrote (4356)	11/25/2001 10:01:50 PM
From: t4texas	Respond to of 36161

deflation not bloody likely according to kasriel northerntrust.com the lastest from paul kasriel on november 23. he shows graphs of money supply growth at high levels, and shows some very interesting graphs that correlate productivity with m3 money supply growth that support his view that inflation is much more likely than deflation. by the way anyone who has been in the chip or some other tech areas knows about this kasriel quote all too well. however the way the chip guys combat this constant lowering of revenue(by lower prices) each year on the same product is to increase the volume(a lot) by finding more and more applications for the same chip product. kasriel says, "All else the same, an increase in productivity could lead to deflation. Why? An increase in productivity would mean that a given supply of labor would be capable of producing more goods and services."