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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/25/2001 11:01:08 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 54805
 
i have noticed in past surveys, people categorize their mutual fund holdings as "cash". i think that is rather inaccurate, as holders of such instruments may have found their value to have depreciated somewhat compared to actual cash in the past year. i would suggest creating a separate category called "mutual funds" where such assets could be categorized. that way, it will be clear what people's true cash holdings are.



To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/25/2001 11:39:40 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
So I'm looking for some piercing, informative question to ask with this survey

i think the main issue is, do you still believe G&K investing is a valid approach for your entire investment portfolio? some people like to say they only invest a small portion of their portfolio in G&K stocks*, but from the many portfolios i've seen here, i think the majority are invested mostly or entirely in G&K (i think it's no accident that the three capitalized words in this thread's title are "Gorilla and King Portfolio"). and given that many G&K stocks have done not so well over the past 20 months, that means people who are largely in such stocks have seen the effects in their entire portfolios.

since ultimately, what really matters to the average investor is how their portfolio does as opposed to this or that silly mistake, i would suggest portfolio approach is the forest and issues like "my worst mistake" are the trees.

* as a point of reference, tech stocks make up slightly less than 20% of the S&P500, which is itself just part of a broader market. if one takes a standard 60/40 split between stocks (using S&P500 as a proxy, as many US investors commonly do) and bonds as a starting point, then the standard allocation to tech for a US investor would be no more than 20% of the 60% in stocks, or 12% of the total (the actual amount would be considerably less if one looks at the total global market.)

so just for starters, i would say that allocation of more than, say, 12% of total assets (including bonds and cash) to tech is an overweighting compared to a standard US investor allocation.

if somebody says they want to invest the 12% of tech in their portfolio in G&K stocks instead of the QQQ or the Naz (or just holding the S&P), i'd say, well, i can understand that approach within the context of the arguments TFM makes for preferring G&K stocks over other tech stocks.

but if somebody says, i am investing 100% in G&K stocks because of their sustainable advantage compared to other tech stocks, well, i think that is a different argument which does not logically follow from what TFM says about the virtues of G&K stocks (since sustainable advantage compared to other tech cos says nothing about relative performance compared to the total market). i am curious if portfolio effects over the past couple years may have caused others to reach a similar conclusion.



To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/25/2001 1:55:29 PM
From: tekboy  Respond to of 54805
 
1. How much of a cash position one should maintain.
2. What was your greatest mistake.
3. What G&K candidate would one propose to be a double in the next year.


wouldn't the 2001 version be a bit more bearish? i.e.,

1. How much of your portfolio should be short as opposed to neutral or long?
2. What will you do different next time?
3. What G&K candidate will halve in the next year?

tekboy/Ares@alltimeCPnominatingchamp,victorylockedinstone.com



To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/25/2001 9:06:06 PM
From: Uncle Frank  Read Replies (6) | Respond to of 54805
 
>> I'm looking for some piercing, informative question to ask with this survey.

I have two.

1. Do you attribute the decline in volume and quality of posts on the g&k forum to a loss of interest in Gorilla gaming, the tech crash, or to the vocal detractors who have camped on the thread.

2. Do you think moving our discussions to a moderated site would be beneficial?

uf



To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/26/2001 11:53:21 AM
From: Uncle Frank  Respond to of 54805
 
Intel Cites Breakthrough in Transistor Design

By Duncan Martell

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Intel Corp. (Nasdaq:INTC - news) has devised a new structure for transistors -- the tiny switches that make up semiconductors -- in a development it said could lead to microprocessors that run at blazing speeds and consume far less power than conventional ones.
<snip>

dailynews.yahoo.com



To: Apollo who wrote (49097)11/26/2001 4:26:39 PM
From: Eric L  Respond to of 54805
 
Apollo,

<< I'm looking for some piercing, informative question to ask with this survey. I have some ideas; would appreciate others' thoughts. >>

Keep it Simple. <g>

- Eric -