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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Frank Pembleton who wrote (4389)	11/25/2001 10:11:15 PM
From: t4texas	Respond to of 36161

frank, i assume the us weapons iran got in the 60s and 70s is rust or some shepherd's shelter now. iran got the stuff back during the shah's time, and i assume iran has not been able to get any spare parts since the iatola kakamami returned from france. so i assume the newer russian weapons iran has gotten are in working order and are better than the the old american stuff from the 70s.

To: Frank Pembleton who wrote (4389)	11/26/2001 1:58:51 AM
From: Douglas V. Fant	Respond to of 36161

Frank, I think that an even bigger buildup of US military capability began in 1979 after President Carter felt that he had been duped by the Soviets as they invaded Afghanistan. President Reagan then followed President Carter and really "poured it on" militarily in the 1980's. Fortunately we fought Iraq in Desert Storm in 1990 at the peak of that massive buildup. The Clinton-Gore team unfortunately for eight years did some not so good things to our conventional military capability such as almost halving the number of available US Naval surface ships. So at least in terms of conventional forces we are much weaker in 2001 than we were in 1990. The good (or bad??) news is that Iraq has largely ignored its conventional forces in the last decade and poured money into nuclear, missile, chemical, and biological weapons development. So either the US or Iran IMO could "roll" Iraq in a conventional (emphasis on "conventional") war, and Iranian rearmament is a significant threat to Iraq..... The key is what happens if the non-conventional weapons fly and also within Iraq with dissident groups.... Iran and the US had cordial relations for decades before the Ayatollah episode in 1979- et al. They could exist again....